NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	4.8 [863]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): +12.0%
Denver Nuggets	119		Comeback	1.4 [1072]		LVP	Steve Nash (LAL): -6.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	14	21%	-0.15
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	11	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	23	56%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	76%	0.08	6	-0.14	5	80%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	18	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	15	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	19	49%	0.05	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	32.1	15.4	26.3	2.3	28.5	133.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.7%

DEN +13.5%

DEN +8.2%

DEN +11.6%

DEN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.4	110.2	121.4	104.1
season	14.9	14.4		106.0	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	14.4	17.7	15.4	15.6
DEN	13.6	11.9	13.7	16.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-11	11	14.8	18.8	-4.02	14.5	11.0	3.44
Steve Nash	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-6	1	15.5	15.9	-0.36	13.9	13.4	0.57
Metta World Peace	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.11	15.2	11.5	3.74
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-10	9	15.5	16.1	-0.69	14.1	12.7	1.30
Jodie Meeks	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.7	1.34	14.1	13.2	0.85
Antawn Jamison	52	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	16.0	15.2	0.81	12.1	15.9	-3.81
Earl Clark	46	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	6	-23	17.4	14.0	3.37	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Steve Blake	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	2	-15	15.0	16.0	-1.04	12.3	14.9	-2.63

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-6	23	12.7	15.0	-2.21	16.3	14.8	1.48
Ty Lawson	83	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	14.0	12.7	1.24	15.5	16.2	-0.71
JaVale McGee	53	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	3	5	11.7	16.3	-4.59	16.5	14.7	1.73
Andre Iguodala	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	5	1	13.8	13.7	0.13	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Andre Miller	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	8	-5	14.6	12.7	1.94	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Wilson Chandler	47	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	5	1	15.1	12.6	2.46	17.1	14.1	2.98
Anthony Randolph	14	13	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	1	9	11.5	14.2	-2.67	16.8	15.4	1.43
Kosta Koufos	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	15.2	13.2	2.00	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Jordan Hamilton	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	8	-5	9.8	14.3	-4.47	12.8	16.0	-3.14
Kenneth Faried	63	65	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	17	-23	14.9	11.8	3.04	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Timofey Mozgov	8	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	14.7	13.7	1.05	12.6	15.9	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 91, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.7%
ATL 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%