inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 91 Excitement3.8 [1030] MVPJamal Mashburn (CHH): +11.3%
Charlotte Hornets 97 Comeback1.1 [1163] LVPBaron Davis (CHH): -12.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Bobby Simmons-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01450%0.001-0.0120%-0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.012049%0.001-0.02580%0.01
Chris Whitney-0.020,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001062%0.054-0.071100%0.00
Jahidi White-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01337%-0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Tyrone Nesby-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04733%-0.031-0.0140%-0.04
Courtney Alexander-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.02828%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01450%-0.041-0.02617%-0.04
Popeye Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00633%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.04-0.000.03769%-0.005-0.072100%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.010.021143%-0.0900.00862%-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.01-0.052160%0.143-0.033100%0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.03484%0.082-0.011788%0.05
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02760%0.052-0.031100%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04267%0.032-0.0220%-0.01
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01267%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02480%0.054-0.052100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.061537%-0.002-0.032100%0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.17-0.00-0.041133%-0.055-0.0820%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.41.833.114.827.41.833.2133.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +34.0%
CHH +16.7%
CHH +0.7%
CHH +1.8%
WAS -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHHNBAWASCHHNBA
this game15.214.815.694.8101.0102.3
season16.515.9102.2102.2
opponent15.615.3101.1103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.714.517.014.815.2
CHH14.714.314.315.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Simmons2726-0.04-0.460.41-0.319-152413.715.8-2.0915.914.31.59
Etan Thomas1112-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-1-416.815.01.7813.814.9-1.06
Popeye Jones3939-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-1-415.315.20.1614.115.2-1.06
Jahidi White3133-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-1-415.515.10.3114.714.8-0.10
Brendan Haywood4240-0.22-0.280.06-0.313-91214.515.8-1.2315.014.60.45
Tyrone Nesby5352-0.22-0.280.06-0.375-111614.815.8-1.0815.214.21.03
Chris Whitney5555-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-2-215.515.00.5014.215.5-1.35
Richard Hamilton6162-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.13-60-615.514.90.6014.415.4-0.96
Tyronn Lue4040-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-2-215.215.3-0.0715.414.31.14
Kwame Brown5958-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.381-7815.315.10.2615.014.40.56
Courtney Alexander6263-0.45-0.05-0.400.11-1913-3215.914.11.7414.515.2-0.64

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon40400.400.100.300.0512-61815.714.11.5716.514.32.20
David Wesley72700.370.130.240.2542214.316.1-1.8215.315.20.06
Elden Campbell50500.360.140.230.2542214.714.8-0.1315.415.00.42
Jamal Mashburn78770.360.140.210.3315-414.615.7-1.1215.115.9-0.82
P.J. Brown70700.300.200.110.33-17-814.415.8-1.3814.716.7-2.05
Baron Davis80820.230.27-0.030.35-410-1414.715.0-0.2914.619.0-4.40
George Lynch26260.200.30-0.11-0.017-1815.814.41.3816.714.72.05
Lee Nailon18190.140.36-0.21-0.0051415.714.61.1215.915.10.82
Jamaal Magloire46460.140.36-0.230.0824-214.814.70.1315.015.4-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 76, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
CHI 86, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAC 76, NOK 900.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%