NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	10.2 [48]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +81.5%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	4.8 [126]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -26.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.82	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.82	0.14	0.68	0.01	21	65%	0.84	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.29	0.20	0.08	-0.01	18	82%	0.44	3	-0.15	8	87%	0.11
Scott Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Tim Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.20	-0.06	0.01	13	30%	-0.12	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.09	0.01	11	67%	0.17	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	63%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	11	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	23	50%	-0.12	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.09
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	4	10%	-0.18	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.3	2.4	27.3	15.5	25.4	1.8	35.0	146.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +94.4%

MIL +1.2%

UTA -38.2%

UTA -0.4%

UTA -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.2	109.7	106.5	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		105.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	15.3	12.7	16.6	14.4
UTA	13.1	19.0	16.1	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	77	77	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.51	11	-8	19	13.5	18.4	-4.84	15.9	19.7	-3.80
Ray Allen	78	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-8	19	14.0	16.3	-2.27	16.8	15.5	1.31
Sam Cassell	70	72	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-6	15	13.7	16.5	-2.81	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Tim Thomas	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	6	-9	13.9	14.7	-0.87	16.3	16.8	-0.51
Ervin Johnson	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	1	1	13.3	17.9	-4.57	16.1	18.4	-2.30
Scott Williams	59	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	-1	5	14.9	13.4	1.46	16.7	16.4	0.32
Vinny Del Negro	38	39	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.34	-11	14	-25	16.4	13.0	3.43	16.3	16.9	-0.60
Danny Manning	30	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.11	-8	11	-19	18.6	12.3	6.25	20.2	14.9	5.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	26	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-9	15	14.0	17.6	-3.56	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Armen Gilliam	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-4	5	20.5	15.6	4.87	16.9	13.7	3.18
Jeff Hornacek	51	53	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.21	-5	2	-7	15.0	18.6	-3.63	13.0	16.2	-3.17
Jacque Vaughn	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	16.6	-16.60	2.0	14.5	-12.50
Greg Ostertag	52	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-11	19	17.6	15.3	2.30	15.4	13.0	2.44
Adam Keefe	19	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-6	9	18.5	16.1	2.42	18.7	13.3	5.33
Olden Polynice	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	7	-17	15.7	17.3	-1.58	13.3	15.2	-1.91
John Stockton	71	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-5	7	17.5	13.7	3.83	15.0	12.4	2.63
Howard Eisley	59	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	1	-5	17.2	15.5	1.74	15.0	13.3	1.69
Karl Malone	74	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	15.6	20.5	-4.87	13.7	16.9	-3.18
Bryon Russell	54	54	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.41	-12	9	-21	16.5	16.7	-0.20	13.1	16.1	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.55,0.55,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.69,0	91.3%
MIN 102, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.57,0.47,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.72,0	91.1%
SAS 92, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.6%