NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	9.0 [142]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (NOH): +20.4%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	11.5 [80]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -36.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.05	-0.05	11	62%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	15	55%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Trenton Hassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.07	0.06	0.00	7	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	7	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	40%	-0.04	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.09

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.13	0.00	6	83%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	10	64%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	13	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.02	-0.17	0.00	8	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	9	20%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	10	36%	-0.18	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.13
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.36	-0.36	-0.08	-0.27	0.01	8	57%	-0.09	5	-0.27	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	26.6	15.7	24.2	2.5	31.4	125.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.6%

NOH -3.7%

NOH -7.1%

MIN +31.7%

NOH -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOH	NBA	MIN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.5	115.9	112.5	104.0
season	15.8	16.5		106.2	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	14.6	15.7	16.9	15.9
NOH	17.1	17.5	17.0	15.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	37	35	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-9	21	14.9	16.6	-1.62	17.5	16.4	1.07
Wally Szczerbiak	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	-2	7	15.9	15.9	0.06	16.4	17.3	-0.95
Ndudi Ebi	49	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	1	1	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Eddie Griffin	49	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	1	1	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Anthony Carter	49	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	1	1	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Sam Cassell	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	16.0	15.8	0.16	17.5	16.3	1.21
Trenton Hassell	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	16.0	15.8	0.16	17.5	16.3	1.21
Kevin Garnett	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	3	-3	16.0	15.7	0.31	17.0	16.6	0.41
Latrell Sprewell	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	5	-7	15.9	15.9	-0.06	17.3	16.4	0.95
Ervin Johnson	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	9	-15	17.1	15.7	1.37	19.1	16.6	2.55
Michael Olowokandi	37	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	5	-7	16.4	15.5	0.90	16.1	17.4	-1.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	62	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	17.2	16.0	1.19	16.0	15.7	0.21
P.J. Brown	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-3	3	17.0	16.6	0.41	16.0	15.7	0.31
Jackson Vroman	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-3	3	17.0	16.6	0.41	16.0	15.7	0.31
Lee Nailon	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-2	1	17.5	16.3	1.21	16.0	15.8	0.16
Bostjan Nachbar	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	16.3	17.5	-1.21	15.8	16.0	-0.16
David West	44	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	16.6	17.0	-0.41	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Maciej Lampe	44	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	16.6	17.0	-0.41	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Dan Dickau	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-3	3	16.8	16.9	-0.15	16.2	15.4	0.77
Casey Jacobsen	58	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	4	-11	16.5	17.5	-0.95	15.6	16.5	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.57,0.47,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.55,0.55,0.74,0	91.1%
BKN 96, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.9%
LAL 87, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.69,0	90.8%