NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	3.7 [1045]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +6.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.3 [887]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -16.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	72%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	54%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	21	32%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	21	70%	0.18	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	26.3	14.7	29.1	1.6	26.5	121.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +58.8%

SAC -4.4%

SAC -0.4%

SAC -6.5%

MIN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.2	90.0	102.9	101.7
season	13.8	15.1		102.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.7		101.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	13.9	14.3	16.7	14.6
MIN	14.5	12.8	13.3	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	34	36	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-22	29	15.7	14.0	1.78	14.8	13.5	1.35
Scot Pollard	50	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-21	27	14.5	14.7	-0.20	14.5	13.4	1.06
Darrick Martin	47	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-20	25	14.7	14.5	0.23	14.3	13.6	0.66
Tony Delk	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-18	21	16.7	14.0	2.72	15.3	13.6	1.79
Jon Barry	58	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-16	17	14.6	14.5	0.14	14.1	13.8	0.30
Tyrone Corbin	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	13.9	15.7	-1.77	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Jason Williams	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	5	-25	14.5	14.7	-0.23	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Nick Anderson	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	4	-23	14.4	14.8	-0.35	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Vlade Divac	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	6	-27	14.7	14.5	0.20	13.4	14.5	-1.06
Chris Webber	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	7	-29	14.0	15.7	-1.78	13.5	14.8	-1.35

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	91	89	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.11	24	-9	33	14.0	13.3	0.77	14.7	13.2	1.55
Malik Sealy	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.32	30	-15	45	13.6	14.3	-0.67	15.8	13.4	2.37
Kevin Garnett	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-6	27	13.9	14.3	-0.48	14.8	13.6	1.15
Rasho Nesterovic	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-5	25	13.5	14.5	-0.98	15.5	13.3	2.12
Sam Mitchell	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-2	19	14.4	13.4	0.93	14.6	14.5	0.07
Anthony Peeler	75	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	18	-21	14.0	14.0	-0.00	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Joe Smith	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	13.3	14.3	-0.96	12.5	15.6	-3.12
Tom Hammonds	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	9.7	14.1	-4.42	11.7	14.6	-2.98
Dean Garrett	21	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	21	-27	16.1	13.4	2.75	13.8	14.7	-0.89
William Avery	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	24	-33	13.3	14.0	-0.77	13.2	14.7	-1.55
Wally Szczerbiak	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.34	-15	30	-45	14.5	13.7	0.72	13.6	15.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIL 102, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 80, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%