NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	3.7 [1067]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +25.8%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	1.1 [1180]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -9.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Sanders	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	11	72%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nate Wolters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.04	-0.01	14	87%	0.29	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	12	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	78%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	10	45%	0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	4	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	30.5	16.4	22.5	2.4	25.4	124.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.6%

DAL +2.6%

MIL -4.9%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.1	106.2	130.2	104.2
season	14.5	14.6		100.5	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	14.4	15.4	13.5	14.5
DAL	14.7	13.9	16.6	17.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-20	17	14.1	14.7	-0.66	16.8	14.7	2.11
Nate Wolters	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	11.8	14.8	-3.00	15.7	15.5	0.14
Kendall Marshall	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-22	21	14.5	14.4	0.03	16.6	15.2	1.42
Khris Middleton	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-17	11	13.3	15.1	-1.80	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Jared Dudley	29	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-16	9	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-13	3	14.0	15.3	-1.35	16.3	14.3	2.02
Jerryd Bayless	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-11	-1	15.5	13.8	1.72	15.4	15.6	-0.24
O.J. Mayo	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-12	1	14.4	14.5	-0.14	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Brandon Knight	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-5	-13	15.0	13.7	1.33	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Jabari Parker	73	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	0	-23	14.6	14.0	0.55	15.5	15.6	-0.03
Larry Sanders	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	-3	-17	14.7	14.1	0.66	14.7	16.8	-2.11

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	44	43	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-2	27	15.7	15.4	0.30	16.0	13.2	2.71
Monta Ellis	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	3	17	15.0	16.3	-1.28	14.8	14.0	0.73
Jae Crowder	50	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	3	17	16.1	15.0	1.12	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Chandler Parsons	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	8	7	15.2	16.2	-1.07	14.9	13.7	1.17
Tyson Chandler	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	12	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.48	14.6	14.3	0.30
Dirk Nowitzki	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	17	-11	15.1	16.1	-1.07	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Brandan Wright	40	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	14	-5	16.4	14.9	1.51	15.3	13.9	1.46
Jose Juan Barea	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	15	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.41	13.8	15.1	-1.36
Richard Jefferson	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	15.7	15.5	0.21	11.8	14.8	-3.00
Greg Smith	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	15.6	15.5	0.03	9.4	14.9	-5.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	26	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	18	-13	16.4	15.2	1.16	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Jameer Nelson	33	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.15	-11	34	-45	16.5	15.1	1.39	13.9	14.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 95, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%