NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	4.2 [928]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +8.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.2 [1085]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -17.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	13	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.05
Darrick Martin	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	9	18%	-0.13	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.04	20	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	67%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.06	23	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	43%	-0.00	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	25.5	16.3	22.6	1.5	29.5	122.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.2%

LAC -1.2%

MIL +15.0%

MIL +8.2%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	15.6	96.9	111.1	102.5
season	15.5	16.0		101.0	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	16.5	14.4	11.8	14.5
MIL	13.8	13.5	14.4	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Collins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	6.5	14.9	-8.37	5.5	15.1	-9.59
Pooh Richardson	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-17	19	11.8	15.5	-3.72	17.0	13.9	3.12
Eric Piatkowski	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-12	9	13.5	15.9	-2.32	15.2	14.1	1.06
Maurice Taylor	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-12	9	13.5	15.9	-2.32	15.2	14.1	1.06
Stojko Vrankovic	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-4	-7	16.2	13.7	2.48	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Keith Closs	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.15	-4	-11	7	14.2	15.1	-0.91	15.6	13.1	2.51
Darrick Martin	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	16.1	11.9	4.28	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Lamond Murray	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-1	-13	14.1	15.8	-1.69	15.1	13.7	1.38
Brent Barry	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	15.6	12.8	2.72	14.0	15.8	-1.71
Rodney Rogers	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	0	-15	15.4	13.1	2.24	13.7	16.4	-2.67

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-7	29	14.7	14.6	0.09	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Ray Allen	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	-5	25	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.1	15.8	-1.76
Ervin Johnson	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	0	15	14.6	15.2	-0.63	14.6	14.2	0.38
Glenn Robinson	83	81	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	3	9	15.0	12.9	2.11	15.1	11.9	3.20
Andrew Lang	34	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	11	-7	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.9	14.3	0.63
Michael Curry	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	10	-5	14.4	15.0	-0.61	14.6	14.5	0.15
Jamie Feick	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	12	-9	13.1	15.1	-1.95	11.3	15.2	-3.92
Armen Gilliam	64	64	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	14	-13	15.4	13.4	2.02	14.9	13.9	0.99
Elliot Perry	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	22	-29	14.6	14.7	-0.09	15.1	14.3	0.86
Jerald Honeycutt	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	5.5	15.1	-9.59	7.6	14.9	-7.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 77, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 72, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%