NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	3.4 [1128]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +18.6%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	1.0 [1135]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): -12.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	10	83%	0.19	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	9	45%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	26.0	16.7	25.7	1.8	23.6	119.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +24.0%

MIA +3.5%

MIA +14.1%

MIA +6.1%

MIA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	88.5	111.5	106.4
season	15.9	16.0		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	17.5	17.9	15.8	16.5
MIA	15.5	15.2	17.3	18.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	15	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-23	26	16.9	16.4	0.42	15.7	16.8	-1.04
Oleksiy Pecherov	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-25	30	15.0	17.0	-1.97	18.7	15.9	2.81
Dee Brown	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-23	26	15.7	17.0	-1.25	18.5	15.5	3.00
Juan Dixon	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-16	12	17.0	16.1	0.92	15.8	17.2	-1.48
Dominic McGuire	19	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-22	24	14.8	17.0	-2.14	18.5	16.0	2.55
Andray Blatche	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.31	-16	-4	-12	16.8	16.4	0.47	15.7	17.0	-1.33
JaVale McGee	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-10	0	16.0	17.0	-0.98	18.1	15.2	2.87
Etan Thomas	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-7	-6	17.0	16.2	0.80	15.0	17.5	-2.51
Caron Butler	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-8	-4	17.1	15.7	1.34	16.2	17.1	-0.81
DeShawn Stevenson	48	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	0	-20	16.4	16.6	-0.22	15.3	18.1	-2.76
Antawn Jamison	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-1	-18	17.0	15.7	1.30	15.8	18.0	-2.20
Nick Young	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	-1	-18	16.7	16.2	0.50	17.1	15.5	1.61

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.22	23	-3	26	15.5	18.5	-3.00	17.0	15.7	1.25
Shawn Marion	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.21	22	-2	24	15.7	17.9	-2.22	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Udonis Haslem	60	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.40	28	-8	36	15.9	18.1	-2.16	17.0	15.2	1.87
Chris Quinn	48	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	6	8	18.0	14.9	3.11	16.7	16.3	0.38
Michael Beasley	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	4	12	16.8	16.2	0.62	17.4	14.4	2.91
Daequan Cook	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.33	20	0	20	15.8	17.5	-1.71	16.9	16.1	0.75
Mario Chalmers	54	57	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	11	-2	15.9	17.8	-1.89	16.1	17.3	-1.14
Joel Anthony	25	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	30	-40	18.2	15.9	2.32	14.4	17.2	-2.88
Yakhouba Diawara	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	28	-36	18.9	16.1	2.79	14.5	16.9	-2.33
Mark Blount	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	20.4	16.1	4.30	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Marcus Banks	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	20.4	16.1	4.30	14.4	16.7	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 95, MEM 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DEN 99, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%