inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement2.2 [1219] MVPCedric Ceballos (DAL): +11.0%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback1.0 [1107] LVPRon Mercer (DEN): -8.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Stith0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.120.000.081669%0.051-0.01771%0.01
Chris Herren-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05333%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.071454%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Roy Rogers-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Keon Clark-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001064%0.034-0.052100%0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.031040%0.002-0.0300%0.00
George McCloud-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.051436%-0.041-0.01580%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.0330%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.130.00-0.07731%-0.014-0.0620%-0.00
Ron Mercer-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.070.000.01950%-0.042-0.04837%-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.000.011970%0.153-0.046100%0.01
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.011354%0.0500.0020%-0.02
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00756%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.091142%0.003-0.002100%0.00
Bruno Sundov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01560%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04586%-0.003-0.014100%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.041136%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.06752%0.003-0.02771%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.82.529.215.423.71.726.6120.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +28.2%
DAL +2.2%
DAL +1.1%
DAL +16.9%
DAL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game13.214.615.292.3103.9101.7
season14.814.8101.5104.2
opponent14.815.0104.6103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.512.813.513.013.2
DAL12.715.514.715.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith7776-0.06-0.440.39-0.6420-315112.814.5-1.7015.212.92.33
George McCloud2322-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-6112.813.3-0.5113.614.9-1.24
Keon Clark6867-0.08-0.420.34-0.6720-315112.514.7-2.2116.111.84.36
Chris Herren4343-0.09-0.410.32-0.297-182513.313.20.1415.414.01.43
Roy Rogers87-0.15-0.350.200.17-110-1114.913.11.7916.114.51.64
Popeye Jones4543-0.22-0.280.07-0.19-1-10913.612.90.7515.414.01.43
Antonio McDyess1617-0.24-0.260.020.17-143-1714.812.91.8811.315.3-3.97
Raef LaFrentz6667-0.30-0.20-0.110.19-176-2313.113.4-0.3613.616.5-2.90
Ron Mercer5453-0.40-0.10-0.310.12-187-2513.213.2-0.0414.115.1-1.03
Nick Van Exel6160-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-187-2513.213.3-0.1414.015.4-1.43
James Posey5960-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-187-2514.012.21.8414.215.1-0.91

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland72720.57-0.070.63-0.3130-194914.016.0-1.9913.113.5-0.45
Cedric Ceballos62640.430.070.36-0.0416-52114.115.4-1.2913.013.5-0.45
Dirk Nowitzki67650.320.180.14-0.1215-41914.814.20.6413.113.4-0.34
Michael Finley65650.320.180.14-0.0914-31715.313.41.8914.211.62.65
Shawn Bradley50510.280.220.07-0.1816-52113.715.5-1.7713.812.71.07
Hubert Davis52520.230.27-0.040.35-415-1915.014.20.8212.713.7-1.06
Sean Rooks47480.230.27-0.040.32-314-1715.413.91.4613.413.10.32
Steve Nash42430.090.41-0.310.36-920-2914.414.8-0.4312.813.5-0.69
Greg Buckner32340.020.48-0.45-0.0947-316.313.82.4713.613.10.50
Damon Jones13130.000.50-0.500.35-1223-3513.014.8-1.8411.813.4-1.66
Bruno Sundov13130.000.50-0.500.35-1223-3513.014.8-1.8411.813.4-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 90, HOU 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
HOU 74, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
NJN 107, ATL 1290.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%