NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	74		Excitement	2.1 [1221]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +8.4%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.2 [957]		LVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): -9.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.08	0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	48%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	7	35%	-0.01	4	-0.02	3	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	13	23%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	20	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	49%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	6	14%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	-0.00	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	24.5	16.3	28.6	2.4	22.6	124.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.5%

IND +5.4%

IND +12.9%

IND +2.3%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	78.7	107.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		107.2	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.4		101.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	15.6	15.8	15.9	15.8
IND	14.0	15.7	15.5	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jones	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-23	20	15.9	15.8	0.08	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Othella Harrington	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-24	22	15.7	15.9	-0.20	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Brent Price	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-19	12	15.8	15.8	-0.09	15.2	14.8	0.38
Randy Livingston	49	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-21	16	15.9	15.7	0.27	15.1	14.8	0.28
Matt Bullard	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-17	8	15.4	16.4	-0.99	15.6	14.2	1.39
Sam Mack	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-10	-6	16.2	15.5	0.69	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Matt Maloney	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-5	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.27	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Mario Elie	56	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-6	-14	16.0	15.6	0.39	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Hakeem Olajuwon	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	-4	-18	15.8	15.8	0.08	14.9	15.1	-0.11
Kevin Willis	42	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	-1	-24	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.2	14.9	0.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	60	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-2	30	14.6	15.7	-1.10	16.7	14.2	2.51
Rik Smits	51	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	1	24	15.2	14.7	0.54	16.5	14.9	1.58
Reggie Miller	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-1	28	15.2	14.7	0.45	15.9	15.6	0.30
Dale Davis	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.34	26	0	26	14.3	16.0	-1.68	16.6	14.6	2.05
Derrick McKey	69	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.26	22	4	18	14.9	15.1	-0.18	16.4	14.1	2.22
Antonio Davis	52	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	21	-16	15.2	14.7	0.59	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Duane Ferrell	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	26	-26	15.7	14.8	0.97	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Fred Hoiberg	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	26	-26	14.9	15.1	-0.16	15.1	16.3	-1.27
Jerome Allen	40	40	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	15.3	14.8	0.50	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Erick Dampier	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	15.2	14.9	0.29	15.2	15.9	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 81, SAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
LAL 75, UTA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ORL 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%