inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 90 Excitement2.8 [1208] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +9.1%
Houston Rockets 104 Comeback1.0 [1176] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -9.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Zeller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.000.05289%0.0300.00580%-0.00
Jared Sullinger0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.041542%0.031-0.02367%0.00
Marcus Thornton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.021043%0.0100.001100%0.00
Brandon Bass0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01850%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06386%0.0000.0010%0.00
Phil Pressey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Turner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.02844%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03657%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.021942%-0.041-0.012100%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.021127%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.06712%-0.052-0.022100%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.18-0.00-0.08922%-0.035-0.0700%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011462%0.123-0.0314100%0.04
Terrence Jones0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.140.000.071671%0.092-0.023100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03950%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01950%0.0300.001040%-0.03
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03443%0.0300.00667%0.01
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.071137%0.022-0.0120%-0.03
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01564%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nick Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01050%-0.001-0.01450%-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.05437%-0.026-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.528.315.831.11.726.2130.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +35.6%
HOU +6.1%
HOU +9.3%
BOS -2.6%
HOU +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSHOUNBABOSHOUNBA
this game14.514.415.190.9104.0104.2
season14.314.3103.1105.6
opponent14.915.4103.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.016.714.212.314.5
HOU12.214.615.215.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Phil Pressey880.00-0.500.50-0.269-23327.415.1-7.7717.214.23.07
James Young1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-22309.815.2-5.3316.714.12.60
Marcus Smart2524-0.11-0.390.29-0.224-182211.915.4-3.4714.714.30.42
Tyler Zeller3840-0.11-0.390.28-0.348-223013.914.9-1.0115.513.71.74
Marcus Thornton4140-0.20-0.300.100.07-9-5-414.914.30.5814.114.6-0.55
Evan Turner5353-0.23-0.270.04-0.09-5-9415.014.01.0414.614.30.29
Brandon Bass4342-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-6-214.914.20.6513.714.9-1.19
Kelly Olynyk3534-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-8213.415.1-1.7714.214.6-0.38
Jared Sullinger5456-0.26-0.24-0.020.15-140-1415.013.91.1114.214.7-0.41
Avery Bradley5355-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-184-2215.313.61.7714.314.6-0.35
Rajon Rondo7071-0.39-0.11-0.290.11-173-2015.412.33.1214.214.9-0.71
Jeff Green6364-0.40-0.10-0.300.24-228-3015.313.12.2514.015.1-1.06

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden64650.450.050.40-0.0818-42213.815.6-1.8515.213.31.86
Trevor Ariza61620.410.090.32-0.3526-123814.214.8-0.6815.313.31.99
Terrence Jones61610.350.150.20-0.1517-32014.414.5-0.0515.612.82.76
Isaiah Canaan73710.350.150.200.23410-614.913.21.7114.215.4-1.22
Dwight Howard69670.310.190.12-0.041221014.614.10.4815.113.31.78
Kostas Papanikolaou49480.220.28-0.06-0.08104613.914.9-0.9615.014.00.98
Jason Terry47460.200.30-0.10-0.09104614.314.6-0.2915.114.01.11
Donatas Motiejunas44420.150.35-0.200.21-216-1814.614.30.3313.015.6-2.63
Tarik Black890.060.44-0.39-0.00212-1010.914.7-3.8616.414.32.12
Troy Daniels880.000.50-0.500.26-923-3217.214.23.077.415.1-7.77
Nick Johnson880.000.50-0.500.26-923-3217.214.23.077.415.1-7.77
Joey Dorsey880.000.50-0.500.26-923-3217.214.23.077.415.1-7.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 100, MIL 1130.5,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
DET 84, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DEN 96, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%