NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	2.2 [1242]		MVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): +12.1%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	1.0 [1269]		LVP	Tamar Slay (NJN): -3.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	9	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	13	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Tamar Slay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	13	79%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	16	72%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	9	74%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	11	82%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.23	0.00	0.21	16	88%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	26.3	15.4	24.4	2.4	26.5	119.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.2%

ATL +1.6%

NJN -3.5%

ATL +7.1%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	17.2	14.8	15.7	120.2	141.8	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		98.1	98.2
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.0	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.9	15.6	16.8	17.3	17.2
ATL	10.6	18.7	14.5	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Armstrong	34	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	-14	6	16.9	17.4	-0.42	14.5	15.0	-0.56
Rodney Rogers	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-10	-2	18.6	16.6	2.00	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Tamar Slay	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-22	22	18.0	17.0	0.98	16.9	14.2	2.66
Brian Scalabrine	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-12	2	17.6	17.0	0.59	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Aaron Williams	25	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-22	22	18.4	16.7	1.61	16.9	13.9	2.99
Zoran Planinic	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-15	8	17.9	16.7	1.13	15.9	14.1	1.89
Lucious Harris	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.35	-20	-2	-18	18.8	16.2	2.58	12.7	16.0	-3.29
Richard Jefferson	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-15	8	16.2	18.1	-1.91	15.2	14.5	0.64
Kerry Kittles	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-15	8	16.2	18.1	-1.91	15.2	14.5	0.64
Jason Collins	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-9	-4	16.6	18.0	-1.40	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Kenyon Martin	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-11	0	16.7	17.8	-1.15	14.4	15.3	-0.81
Jason Kidd	52	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-7	-8	16.7	17.9	-1.13	14.1	15.9	-1.89

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	84	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	5	12	14.2	22.0	-7.77	17.7	12.4	5.30
Stephen Jackson	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	4	14	13.5	17.6	-4.10	17.8	15.9	1.89
Chris Crawford	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	0	22	13.8	16.7	-2.87	17.0	17.5	-0.53
Jason Terry	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	4	14	14.5	16.4	-1.81	16.9	18.6	-1.62
Jason Collier	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	11	0	13.3	15.8	-2.45	18.4	16.4	2.04
Boris Diaw	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	12	-2	16.9	12.8	4.04	16.8	17.6	-0.76
Travis Hansen	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	14	-6	17.2	12.7	4.52	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Mamadou N'diaye	25	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	11	0	15.2	14.7	0.52	18.9	16.6	2.31
Michael Bradley	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	27	-32	17.3	13.9	3.39	13.4	18.7	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NOP 91, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DEN 90, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%