inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement4.4 [909] MVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): +13.1%
Toronto Raptors 108 Comeback1.5 [757] LVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): -12.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.001568%0.1300.00875%0.01
Mark Strickland0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01662%0.0400.00450%0.00
Rex Walters0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tim James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02862%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03856%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03764%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.10-0.00-0.07825%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01475%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00930%-0.072-0.052100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001331%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.01-0.05967%0.0910.001267%0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.02475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.01968%0.102-0.057100%0.04
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.012448%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Lang00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00483%0.053-0.06475%-0.01
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.110.01-0.071345%0.044-0.07771%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.020.011150%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.526.216.430.12.029.2128.5
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +14.7%
TOR +12.0%
TOR +11.8%
TOR +10.4%
TOR +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game14.515.215.295.9111.3101.7
season15.715.5101.2101.8
opponent14.915.9102.198.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.914.214.916.014.5
TOR15.415.814.515.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rex Walters1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-212715.114.40.7016.315.11.27
Duane Causwell1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-212715.114.40.7016.315.11.27
Tim James1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-212715.114.40.7016.315.11.27
P.J. Brown4543-0.08-0.420.330.21-10-5-515.613.52.1815.914.61.28
Tim Hardaway5049-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-10514.914.10.8015.814.71.09
Anthony Carter5555-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-10513.715.5-1.8915.015.5-0.54
Jamal Mashburn6464-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-9314.714.10.5815.215.2-0.04
Mark Strickland4040-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-6-314.014.8-0.8114.815.5-0.67
Alonzo Mourning6565-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-150-1515.013.51.5015.414.70.70
Clar. Weatherspoon3029-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-9-6-312.615.3-2.7114.815.4-0.55
Otis Thorpe3435-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.07-12-3-913.315.1-1.8613.716.1-2.44
Voshon Lenard6969-0.48-0.02-0.460.16-227-2914.813.61.2215.015.8-0.85

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady67670.56-0.060.630.21123914.117.7-3.6014.015.6-1.63
Vince Carter79780.380.120.270.1296315.016.3-1.3714.414.7-0.26
Doug Christie76750.330.170.170.1087115.414.41.0114.913.11.79
Antonio Davis54540.330.170.16-0.1717-21915.614.70.8515.213.51.73
Charles Oakley68690.330.170.15-0.1416-11715.215.20.0614.314.8-0.44
Kevin Willis30290.190.31-0.120.16114-1315.215.2-0.0714.614.40.21
Muggsy Bogues28290.170.33-0.16-0.18123914.615.5-0.9114.314.5-0.23
John Thomas32330.150.35-0.200.03411-714.715.4-0.7012.915.3-2.42
Dell Curry38400.040.47-0.43-0.1469-317.813.64.2314.614.40.30
Antonio Lang320.010.49-0.480.07-217-1914.715.2-0.5717.014.42.58
Michael Stewart1090.000.50-0.500.23-823-3114.715.3-0.5816.214.31.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 98, MIA 1070.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,1,195.5%
PHX 103, DAL 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
LAL 84, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.4%