NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	4.5 [910]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.8%
Dallas Mavericks	124		Comeback	1.3 [1019]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -19.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	19	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.06	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	70%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.20	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.04	0.02	16	49%	-0.04	6	-0.15	9	67%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.03	0.06	22	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	10	85%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	87%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.2	17.4	23.5	1.8	24.2	123.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.5%

PHX -5.0%

PHX -4.2%

DAL +6.2%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.2	15.7	107.3	127.8	100.5
season	14.6	14.6		99.6	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	18.9	15.5	16.8	16.7
DAL	12.2	11.1	14.5	15.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	39	39	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	17.0	16.5	0.57	13.6	12.9	0.65
Maciej Lampe	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	-14	7	15.9	17.1	-1.17	12.2	13.6	-1.40
Casey Jacobsen	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-8	-5	17.7	16.0	1.74	11.1	14.6	-3.51
Antonio McDyess	43	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-16	11	16.6	16.8	-0.23	13.8	12.6	1.20
Donnell Harvey	22	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-13	5	15.8	17.0	-1.19	11.8	13.5	-1.73
Leandro Barbosa	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-9	-3	16.6	16.8	-0.20	14.0	11.5	2.50
Joe Johnson	84	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-3	-15	16.5	18.0	-1.50	13.5	10.6	2.86
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	-3	-15	16.6	17.4	-0.84	13.3	11.8	1.54
Shawn Marion	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	-1	-19	17.0	15.8	1.26	13.2	13.2	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.27	28	-7	35	12.3	14.3	-2.07	18.1	14.9	3.17
Josh Howard	53	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.16	24	-3	27	12.4	14.1	-1.72	17.5	15.6	1.90
Michael Finley	79	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	8	5	13.0	13.9	-0.94	16.8	16.4	0.40
Steve Nash	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	11	-1	13.3	13.0	0.32	16.0	18.0	-2.08
Dirk Nowitzki	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	8	5	14.1	10.9	3.21	16.2	18.0	-1.80
Eduardo Najera	20	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	11	-1	13.2	13.2	0.03	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Marquis Daniels	77	74	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	13	-5	13.6	11.4	2.24	16.5	17.2	-0.70
Antoine Walker	59	57	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	22	-23	13.0	13.4	-0.40	17.0	16.3	0.68
Scott Williams	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	13.2	13.2	0.08	12.6	16.9	-4.31
Travis Best	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	14.1	13.1	1.04	14.6	16.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHI 89, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 87, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%