inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 84 Excitement4.0 [993] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +23.4%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback1.8 [782] LVPLamar Odom (LAL): -22.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Farmar0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.01-0.03956%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Sasha Vujacic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03533%0.0100.002100%0.00
Trevor Ariza0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00850%-0.0010.00250%-0.01
Ronny Turiaf-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.10-0.020.092364%0.044-0.0510%-0.00
Derek Fisher-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.021839%-0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Lamar Odom-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.03-0.021123%-0.145-0.09837%-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.250.020.041581%0.231-0.007100%0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02175%0.0210.00250%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02667%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.030.021751%0.063-0.06967%-0.03
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.043100%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041559%0.053-0.07450%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.74.429.219.826.34.535.6150.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.5%
SAS +11.5%
LAL -9.4%
SAS +5.0%
SAS +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game14.816.515.491.3112.0105.7
season14.616.5110.6104.7
opponent15.315.2100.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL13.116.515.714.314.8
SAS14.116.220.316.216.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza660.00-0.500.50-0.062-212314.814.80.0515.216.6-1.45
Luke Walton3233-0.18-0.320.140.23-14-5-914.714.8-0.1515.017.4-2.42
Vladimir Radmanovic5151-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-14914.315.3-1.0117.315.51.82
Ronny Turiaf2122-0.21-0.290.070.14-12-7-516.414.32.0715.017.0-2.00
Jordan Farmar3738-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-11315.214.50.7314.617.9-3.22
Derek Fisher5554-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-8-314.515.2-0.7317.914.63.22
Pau Gasol7170-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-12514.316.4-2.0717.015.02.00
Sasha Vujacic4646-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-15-4-1115.214.30.9115.517.5-2.04
Kobe Bryant7170-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-9-114.515.7-1.1517.314.13.14
Lamar Odom7070-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-15-4-1115.113.71.3916.716.00.75

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker72720.460.040.42-0.3026-73317.014.62.3914.814.60.17
Manu Ginobili61620.410.090.33-0.031541115.817.9-2.0814.714.9-0.22
Bruce Bowen63630.390.110.27-0.02145917.913.64.2414.714.9-0.22
Tim Duncan71720.350.150.19-0.00127517.214.13.0814.515.8-1.36
Robert Horry35360.320.180.14-0.00118314.917.5-2.6916.113.92.14
Brent Barry43430.210.29-0.07-0.11118314.918.0-3.0814.315.2-0.95
Kurt Thomas19170.150.35-0.19-0.08811-314.517.1-2.5816.414.42.00
Fabricio Oberto35340.120.38-0.260.00415-1118.515.33.2614.115.2-1.10
Michael Finley31320.100.40-0.300.13-120-2118.115.72.4214.315.0-0.67
Ime Udoka16150.010.49-0.490.04-120-2113.217.2-4.0415.914.61.30
Matt Bonner660.000.50-0.500.06-221-2315.216.6-1.4514.814.80.05
Jacque Vaughn88-0.020.52-0.540.04-221-2314.016.8-2.7614.214.8-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 88, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
POR 99, MEM 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
WAS 102, MIA 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.7%