NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	7.7 [295]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +32.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.8 [490]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -20.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.13	-0.04	7	100%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rik Smits	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.02	0.08	-0.10	-0.00	20	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	8	35%	-0.10	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	17	36%	-0.05	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	31	53%	0.20	6	-0.24	8	100%	0.07
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	33.8	18.8	27.4	3.6	33.6	144.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -10.8%

PHI +20.0%

PHI +29.4%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	13.6	15.2	99.0	104.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.8	15.6	14.1	16.0	15.6
PHI	13.2	12.7	14.7	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	7	7	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-9	12	13.4	15.8	-2.36	15.3	13.5	1.79
Chris Mullin	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-3	0	15.5	15.7	-0.19	12.0	14.1	-2.12
Austin Croshere	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-5	4	16.8	15.0	1.71	14.3	13.3	0.97
Sam Perkins	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-7	8	15.9	15.5	0.40	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Mark Jackson	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.2	-1.04	13.4	14.0	-0.62
Rik Smits	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-3	0	14.4	16.3	-1.91	14.1	13.3	0.77
Travis Best	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	16.2	15.2	1.04	14.0	13.4	0.62
Reggie Miller	92	94	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.4	19.3	-3.95	13.7	12.0	1.71
Jalen Rose	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	15.9	13.9	1.99	14.0	11.9	2.01
Dale Davis	81	83	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	6	-18	15.8	14.9	0.90	13.5	14.3	-0.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	54	51	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-9	24	12.6	14.8	-2.15	15.0	16.3	-1.34
George Lynch	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-3	12	13.7	13.5	0.17	15.7	15.4	0.30
Allen Iverson	85	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	0	6	13.5	14.3	-0.77	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Matt Geiger	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-4	14	13.0	14.2	-1.21	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Eric Snow	76	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	13.7	13.3	0.36	16.1	13.6	2.48
Tyrone Hill	77	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	8	-10	13.9	12.7	1.21	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Todd MacCulloch	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	4	-2	10.0	13.9	-3.86	12.8	15.8	-2.97
Bruce Bowen	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	0.0	13.8	-13.77	5.0	15.7	-10.73
Larry Hughes	33	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	14.6	13.1	1.52	16.5	15.2	1.31
Theo Ratliff	55	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	12	-18	14.8	12.2	2.56	16.3	14.7	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.35,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	92.4%
CLE 79, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.3%
VAN 91, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.77,0.85,1	92.3%