inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement2.9 [1160] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +15.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 118 Comeback1.0 [1097] LVPAlvin Williams (TOR): -11.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.032546%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Tracy McGrady0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Antonio Lang-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.030100%0.002-0.002100%0.00
Michael Stewart-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01744%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
John Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01638%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Charles Oakley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Muggsy Bogues-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02736%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Doug Christie-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.120.000.141865%-0.0200.001292%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00350%-0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Kevin Willis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.180.00-0.101428%-0.033-0.04425%-0.02
Alvin Williams-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.190.00-0.081413%-0.091-0.02250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.180.010.031582%0.172-0.021080%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.02886%0.136-0.071292%0.05
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.041462%0.0310.00475%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05150%0.0020.002100%0.00
Haywoode Workman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03762%-0.0110.002100%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05250%0.013-0.0200%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02560%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
J.R. Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.01125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.001153%0.012-0.041080%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game35.30.837.816.824.62.325.7143.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +39.6%
MIL +17.4%
TOR -15.1%
MIL +1.6%
MIL +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMILNBATORMILNBA
this game15.413.115.296.0116.8101.7
season15.514.9101.8105.5
opponent15.414.9105.1102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.414.915.414.815.4
MIL9.317.213.413.413.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady120.02-0.520.53-0.042-23257.015.5-8.5112.513.1-0.60
Sean Marks10110.00-0.500.500.000-212110.815.9-5.138.713.6-4.89
Antonio Lang3132-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-242714.116.0-1.8712.913.2-0.22
Michael Stewart4949-0.06-0.440.37-0.339-303914.316.5-2.1413.712.51.17
John Thomas2828-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-161112.816.4-3.6511.513.7-2.20
Antonio Davis2526-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-191716.215.20.9814.012.81.17
Muggsy Bogues4948-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-161116.214.71.5514.511.82.61
Kevin Willis5956-0.30-0.20-0.090.29-20-1-1916.513.92.6413.812.21.68
Alvin Williams7374-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-1-1915.216.0-0.7512.714.1-1.45
Charles Oakley2424-0.36-0.14-0.210.20-19-2-1717.414.82.5612.013.4-1.48
Vince Carter7777-0.47-0.03-0.450.14-210-2115.714.61.0512.714.2-1.52
Doug Christie7978-0.50-0.00-0.490.29-276-3316.113.22.8713.412.11.24

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ervin Johnson65680.51-0.010.52-0.4332-114312.613.9-1.2416.513.23.33
Sam Cassell74720.480.010.47-0.132102113.013.4-0.4815.914.31.52
Ray Allen74750.470.030.45-0.2023-22512.813.9-1.1416.312.83.58
Glenn Robinson62610.450.050.40-0.142011913.212.90.2316.014.61.33
Tim Thomas62610.310.190.12-0.13156912.214.5-2.3615.215.8-0.66
Scott Williams37370.120.38-0.270.09120-1912.013.7-1.7214.815.8-0.97
Danny Manning44460.080.42-0.340.11-122-2315.611.14.4715.115.7-0.54
Vinny Del Negro47480.070.43-0.350.04120-1914.012.31.6214.416.3-1.92
Haywoode Workman18170.000.50-0.500.06-223-2512.313.3-0.9912.416.0-3.62
Robert Traylor16150.000.50-0.500.12-425-2911.613.4-1.8111.716.1-4.34
J.R. Reid65-0.000.50-0.500.03-122-2319.712.76.9915.615.40.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 88, PHX 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHA 87, DET 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIA 99, ORL 1220.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%