NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	2.4 [1262]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +8.7%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	1.0 [1309]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -8.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	12	36%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	16	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.01	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	26	43%	-0.07	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	15	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	4	84%	0.06	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	11	68%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	108%	0.11	7	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	28.6	16.8	22.4	2.5	26.2	126.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.0%

PHX +10.3%

PHX +5.6%

MIN -10.0%

PHX +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	13.2	15.4	90.7	120.6	105.7
season	15.9	13.8		102.2	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.8	13.7	16.4	17.2	16.5
PHX	12.0	17.0	11.7	12.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-33	37	14.8	17.0	-2.24	16.7	12.2	4.52
Chris Richard	34	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.19	-9	-20	11	16.4	16.6	-0.23	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Kirk Snyder	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-23	17	15.1	17.1	-2.03	12.4	13.5	-1.05
Michael Doleac	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-21	13	16.3	16.6	-0.27	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Corey Brewer	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.30	-18	-11	-7	17.6	15.1	2.54	13.0	13.5	-0.47
Rashad McCants	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-13	-3	16.5	16.5	0.09	13.6	12.7	0.93
Marko Jaric	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-15	1	16.2	17.2	-1.05	13.7	11.9	1.89
Randy Foye	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.36	-25	-4	-21	16.6	16.4	0.25	12.9	13.7	-0.90
Al Jefferson	73	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.34	-26	-3	-23	17.0	14.9	2.11	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Ryan Gomes	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.32	-27	-2	-25	16.6	16.3	0.24	12.8	13.9	-1.05

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	56	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	6	17	12.9	13.6	-0.73	16.2	17.0	-0.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	7	15	12.2	14.6	-2.35	17.0	15.7	1.27
Raja Bell	57	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.23	22	7	15	12.8	13.8	-1.00	16.1	17.1	-0.91
Grant Hill	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	13	3	13.9	12.2	1.73	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Boris Diaw	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	9	11	13.4	13.0	0.42	16.9	16.0	0.99
Shaquille O'Neal	45	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	21	-13	14.8	11.8	3.05	15.2	17.7	-2.45
Leandro Barbosa	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.33	19	10	9	13.0	13.4	-0.33	18.1	15.0	3.08
Gordan Giricek	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	24	-19	13.4	13.0	0.40	17.1	16.2	0.89
Brian Skinner	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.16	7	22	-15	12.9	13.3	-0.46	17.1	16.2	0.92
Eric Piatkowski	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	12.7	13.3	-0.57	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Sean Marks	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	12.7	13.3	-0.57	15.6	16.6	-1.05
DJ Strawberry	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	12.7	13.3	-0.57	15.6	16.6	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
TOR 97, MIL 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DEN 81, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%