inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 87 Excitement2.5 [1257] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +11.4%
Detroit Pistons 113 Comeback1.0 [899] LVPJared Dudley (CHA): -7.7%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.000.071766%0.083-0.047100%0.01
Othella Harrington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01560%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.00633%0.00
Jermareo Davidson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01841%-0.0000.00650%-0.01
Emeka Okafor-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.011043%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.05533%0.002-0.022100%0.01
Raymond Felton-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.040.000.071052%-0.0300.00786%0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02350%0.003-0.032100%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.02850%-0.012-0.034100%0.01
Jared Dudley-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.00-0.0220%-0.023-0.0500%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.000.051375%0.1100.002100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.001458%0.061-0.00367%-0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.04671%0.0400.002100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.04844%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00768%0.043-0.01560%-0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05940%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021052%0.0100.001100%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02650%0.022-0.01450%-0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00475%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01735%-0.0200.00367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.532.215.822.22.536.5138.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +33.7%
CHA -3.7%
CHA -1.0%
DET +16.3%
DET +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADETNBACHADETNBA
this game14.916.915.496.7124.2105.7
season15.816.8103.1108.8
opponent15.815.1101.3107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.314.516.612.614.9
DET18.016.818.415.116.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Hollins10110.00-0.500.500.15-5-211612.915.1-2.2112.717.5-4.80
Jermareo Davidson3839-0.08-0.420.350.13-7-191213.016.2-3.2816.117.6-1.47
Matt Carroll1112-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-211616.014.71.2917.316.90.45
Othella Harrington2524-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-211614.115.2-1.0916.617.1-0.49
Earl Boykins4445-0.12-0.380.260.17-10-16614.215.5-1.3015.918.0-2.13
Jeff McInnis6263-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-201414.715.2-0.5016.418.2-1.83
Jared Dudley2425-0.22-0.280.070.25-16-10-615.014.80.2415.017.7-2.63
Emeka Okafor5655-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-14215.414.01.4417.516.21.29
Raymond Felton5657-0.39-0.11-0.290.07-16-10-614.815.0-0.2618.115.03.15
Nazr Mohammed5153-0.47-0.03-0.440.20-23-3-2016.512.83.6618.115.42.71
Jason Richardson7371-0.500.00-0.500.23-25-1-2415.213.22.0117.813.93.84

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton53550.430.070.36-0.272422217.316.40.9016.013.12.87
Rasheed Wallace47470.420.080.33-0.111881017.716.21.4817.112.44.69
Chauncey Billups40400.380.120.27-0.202061418.215.92.2816.713.43.34
Tayshaun Prince49480.360.140.21-0.061412218.515.13.3915.514.21.31
Antonio McDyess55540.340.160.18-0.011214-218.714.34.4115.414.11.26
Jarvis Hayes32320.140.36-0.21-0.06719-1216.017.5-1.4614.615.0-0.47
Jason Maxiell39380.120.38-0.260.03323-2016.817.0-0.2212.616.5-3.87
Amir Johnson31320.120.38-0.26-0.291412214.418.2-3.8313.815.4-1.59
Rodney Stuckey51500.120.38-0.27-0.06620-1415.918.2-2.2813.416.7-3.34
Arron Afflalo38350.070.43-0.360.01224-2216.417.3-0.9013.116.0-2.87
Primoz Brezec1090.000.50-0.50-0.15521-1612.317.5-5.2213.215.0-1.83
Walter Herrmann10100.000.50-0.50-0.15521-1612.317.5-5.2212.915.1-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 88, PHX 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
MIA 99, ORL 1220.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
LAL 77, GSW 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%