NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	77		Excitement	2.1 [1291]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +9.8%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.0 [1314]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -14.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	-0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	7	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.23	-0.00	-0.08	14	13%	-0.13	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	11	75%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	21	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	9	72%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.05	12	39%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.8	27.3	17.6	27.0	3.0	26.0	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.3%

LAL -2.8%

GSW +1.2%

GSW +7.3%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	14.9	81.9	114.4	105.1
season	15.2	13.7		100.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.5		102.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	14.5	16.3	17.0	16.1
GSW	12.8	15.5	12.0	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-38	42	18.3	15.7	2.57	16.6	13.6	2.97
Ryan Kelly	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-39	44	15.6	16.2	-0.53	16.0	13.8	2.16
Marcelo Huertas	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-34	34	17.0	15.8	1.15	16.5	13.4	3.13
Tarik Black	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-34	34	17.0	15.8	1.15	16.5	13.4	3.13
Nick Young	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.27	-14	-20	6	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.1	13.2	1.92
Brandon Bass	26	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.31	-16	-18	2	16.2	16.1	0.17	11.6	15.1	-3.50
Larry Nance Jr.	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.40	-21	-13	-8	16.1	16.1	0.06	14.2	14.0	0.18
D'Angelo Russell	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	-15	-4	15.4	17.0	-1.64	13.1	15.3	-2.16
Julius Randle	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-16	-2	16.2	16.0	0.17	13.6	14.6	-1.04
Roy Hibbert	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-16	-2	15.6	16.6	-0.94	14.4	13.8	0.62
Lou Williams	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.48	-28	-6	-22	15.1	17.1	-2.04	14.2	14.0	0.13
Kobe Bryant	50	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-14	-6	16.3	15.8	0.50	13.2	15.1	-1.92
Jordan Clarkson	52	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	-9	-16	16.8	15.3	1.48	13.3	15.1	-1.87

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.60	36	-2	38	13.1	16.0	-2.91	16.5	15.3	1.23
Stephen Curry	63	59	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.60	36	-2	38	13.1	16.0	-2.91	16.7	15.1	1.67
Klay Thompson	57	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.41	27	7	20	13.4	15.1	-1.69	16.7	15.3	1.36
Harrison Barnes	48	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	15	4	13.4	14.8	-1.36	16.4	15.9	0.52
Andre Iguodala	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.46	25	9	16	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Andrew Bogut	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	19	-4	14.1	14.0	0.10	16.0	16.2	-0.11
Festus Ezeli	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.41	18	16	2	14.2	14.0	0.16	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Leandro Barbosa	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	33	-32	16.1	13.1	3.05	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Shaun Livingston	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	25	-16	14.6	13.8	0.83	14.4	17.0	-2.58
Marreese Speights	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	41	-48	15.5	13.6	1.83	14.0	16.8	-2.83
Jason Thompson	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	34	-34	16.5	13.4	3.13	17.0	15.8	1.15
Brandon Rush	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	38	-42	16.1	13.7	2.32	18.3	15.7	2.56
Ian Clark	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	39	-44	16.0	13.8	2.16	15.6	16.2	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
IND 90, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DAL 75, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%