NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	7.2 [381]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +16.0%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	3.5 [497]		LVP	Chris Gatling (ORL): -22.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	7	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	6	78%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	41%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	12	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	15	60%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	60%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	12	33%	-0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	12	38%	-0.16	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	30.5	15.7	26.2	2.5	28.2	129.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.5%

ORL -1.8%

ORL -11.3%

ORL -0.4%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.2	101.1	94.7	101.7
season	15.4	13.6		106.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	16.8	17.5	16.9	16.1
ORL	12.7	13.9	14.6	16.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	45	45	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-9	25	16.8	15.5	1.34	15.2	13.6	1.58
Sam Perkins	39	38	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-8	23	17.1	15.5	1.64	14.9	14.0	0.90
Austin Croshere	49	48	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.33	10	-3	13	16.8	15.4	1.45	14.5	14.2	0.31
Chris Mullin	35	33	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	5	-3	16.0	16.2	-0.22	15.5	13.7	1.78
Jalen Rose	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-6	19	16.3	15.8	0.45	13.5	16.7	-3.19
Reggie Miller	82	82	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	16.3	14.9	1.41	14.5	13.4	1.05
Al Harrington	4	3	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	14	-21	11.2	16.4	-5.10	17.0	14.2	2.76
Rik Smits	46	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	10	-13	15.4	16.8	-1.45	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Dale Davis	56	56	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	15	-23	15.5	17.1	-1.64	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Mark Jackson	50	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	16	-25	15.5	16.8	-1.34	13.6	15.2	-1.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	37	35	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-11	15	13.4	15.0	-1.61	16.5	15.9	0.51
Ben Wallace	41	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-9	11	14.0	14.6	-0.54	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	55	55	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-16	25	15.3	13.0	2.23	17.1	14.7	2.40
Darrell Armstrong	63	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-8	9	14.4	14.2	0.25	16.0	16.4	-0.42
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	66	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-12	17	14.6	13.7	0.88	15.9	16.7	-0.74
Michael Doleac	17	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-8	9	17.6	13.6	4.05	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Anthony Parker	28	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	5	-17	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.7	15.9	0.74
Pat Garrity	36	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	13.1	15.1	-1.98	17.4	15.4	2.06
Chucky Atkins	32	32	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.0	14.5	-0.45	16.5	16.0	0.50
Corey Maggette	38	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	9	-25	13.1	15.2	-2.06	14.7	17.2	-2.49
Chris Gatling	57	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	4	-15	15.0	13.4	1.61	15.9	16.5	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.35,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 76, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0	91.8%
CHI 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	91.3%
MEM 79, HOU 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	91.1%