inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 79 Excitement6.5 [489] MVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): +16.4%
Houston Rockets 71 Comeback2.7 [264] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -26.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16-0.010.12-0.051754%0.222-0.06520%-0.04
Shane Battier0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.030.00487%0.1000.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01762%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00450%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01856%0.093-0.1100%0.00
James Posey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01844%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.011637%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02812%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Jason Williams-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.01625%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Wesley Person-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00617%-0.101-0.0400%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.060.00-0.07-0.011161%0.032-0.09956%-0.04
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01737%-0.012-0.062100%0.02
Kelvin Cato0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.01450%0.003-0.07650%-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.00950%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.02425%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.00-0.001037%-0.064-0.084100%0.01
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26-0.26-0.13-0.120.011649%-0.046-0.237100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.828.015.525.42.437.6134.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +31.0%
HOU -16.9%
MEM +1.0%
MEM +37.8%
HOU -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMHOUNBAMEMHOUNBA
this game16.717.415.794.083.5100.5
season15.316.5102.398.8
opponent15.615.797.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.316.517.416.616.7
HOU18.016.217.817.717.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw34360.64-0.140.780.2613-51816.117.0-0.8920.215.44.80
Earl Watson42430.61-0.110.720.2911-31416.017.3-1.3119.015.83.24
Wesley Person32330.53-0.030.550.2310-21216.516.8-0.2421.015.15.93
Lorenzen Wright52530.52-0.020.550.2980816.317.3-1.0218.016.41.59
Shane Battier36360.320.180.14-0.0613-51815.617.5-1.9719.016.22.78
James Posey54540.190.31-0.120.34-513-1817.016.01.0015.720.4-4.75
Mike Miller5252-0.030.53-0.550.03-210-1216.816.50.2415.121.0-5.93
Stromile Swift2728-0.050.55-0.590.01-210-1217.916.11.7317.217.5-0.28
Jason Williams4242-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-311-1417.316.01.3115.819.0-3.24
Pau Gasol4948-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-311-1417.215.91.3615.519.8-4.32

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moochie Norris40380.05-0.550.60-0.074-121616.817.9-1.1316.317.0-0.61
Kelvin Cato6057-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-6417.616.90.6816.916.10.84
Bostjan Nachbar1010-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-6421.316.94.4215.016.9-1.91
Maurice Taylor3535-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-3-219.915.74.2317.016.50.50
Steve Francis7878-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-3-216.724.7-7.9716.716.20.55
Jim Jackson6666-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-7-1-617.018.8-1.7916.816.30.51
Yao Ming6767-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-102-1216.819.6-2.8116.417.7-1.29
Cuttino Mobley6969-0.720.22-0.95-0.34-135-1817.417.20.2616.815.90.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 93, CHI 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.02,0,0,092.4%
CLE 106, MIN 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,092.0%
SAC 113, SEA 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,091.8%