NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	76		Excitement	7.3 [346]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	74		Comeback	7.1 [202]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -27.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,0.1	-0.15	0.24	-0.02	19	37%	0.22	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	63%	0.17	4	-0.14	6	83%	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.10
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	5	35%	-0.13	1	-0.04	7	29%	-0.12
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	10	29%	-0.22	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	30.2	17.0	33.1	3.4	42.7	155.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +45.7%

DET -5.2%

NJN +4.9%

DET -1.4%

NJN +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	18.2	15.5	86.4	83.1	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.2	14.6	16.6	15.5	14.3
DET	18.3	20.4	16.9	17.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	67	68	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-13	28	14.1	15.0	-0.85	17.5	20.6	-3.09
Aaron Williams	35	36	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-8	18	13.8	14.7	-0.89	20.8	16.5	4.31
Kenyon Martin	83	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-6	14	14.3	13.8	0.54	18.3	16.2	2.06
Jason Kidd	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	14.0	17.9	-3.86	17.6	24.6	-7.04
Rodney Rogers	28	28	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-1	4	14.2	14.3	-0.14	20.7	17.1	3.60
Richard Jefferson	65	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	7	-12	14.3	14.3	0.00	16.8	22.3	-5.52
Anthony Johnson	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	17.9	14.0	3.86	24.6	17.6	7.04
Lucious Harris	21	21	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	15	-28	15.0	14.1	0.85	20.6	17.5	3.09
Jason Collins	53	52	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.13	-10	12	-22	14.7	13.8	0.89	16.8	20.2	-3.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	52	50	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-6	10	17.6	19.1	-1.58	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Chucky Atkins	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	26.0	17.5	8.45	15.3	14.2	1.06
Michael Curry	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	3	-8	18.0	18.3	-0.21	12.6	14.8	-2.22
Tayshaun Prince	65	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-11	20	18.2	18.4	-0.22	15.0	12.5	2.51
Richard Hamilton	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-3	4	17.3	22.2	-4.92	13.9	16.1	-2.12
Ben Wallace	83	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	0	-2	18.3	16.5	1.84	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Corliss Williamson	24	25	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	7	-16	20.3	17.4	2.85	15.8	13.7	2.09
Chauncey Billups	82	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	17.5	26.0	-8.45	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Mehmet Okur	39	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	4	-10	19.4	17.3	2.08	14.3	14.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.7%
IND 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.35,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	91.8%
HOU 105, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.59,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.0%