NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	6.6 [456]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +8.2%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	3.6 [354]		LVP	David Benoit (NJN): -21.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Dennis Rodman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	11	61%	0.11	6	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	23	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	54%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	16	51%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	13	54%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	7	0%	-0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	25.3	16.4	25.4	2.4	29.2	123.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.0%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +6.4%

NJN -0.8%

NJN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.6	106.4	96.8	102.5
season	16.2	15.6		105.8	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.9	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	14.5	15.8	14.4	14.9
NJN	15.1	13.8	17.0	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	80	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	16.2	7.1	9.18	16.5	10.5	6.08
Randy Brown	43	42	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	2	4	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.2	15.9	-0.63
Toni Kukoc	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	7	-6	14.7	15.3	-0.64	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Ron Harper	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	3	2	14.4	17.5	-3.07	15.1	18.0	-2.86
Michael Jordan	83	83	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	7	-6	14.7	16.1	-1.37	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Bill Wennington	7	7	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	1	6	17.6	14.7	2.90	22.3	15.1	7.23
Jason Caffey	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	15.1	14.9	0.25	16.5	15.5	1.02
Scott Burrell	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	15.1	14.9	0.25	16.5	15.5	1.02
Luc Longley	57	59	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	13.9	16.5	-2.60	14.9	16.7	-1.73
Steve Kerr	35	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.0	-0.22	16.0	15.4	0.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Edwards	23	23	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-10	12	18.0	14.8	3.18	15.9	14.6	1.31
Michael Cage	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	16.3	15.4	0.96	14.9	14.9	0.02
Sherman Douglas	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.13	-7	-1	-6	18.7	14.1	4.59	15.0	14.8	0.13
Kerry Kittles	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-6	4	15.1	17.7	-2.58	14.4	17.5	-3.15
Keith Van Horn	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	0	-8	15.6	15.6	-0.01	14.6	17.9	-3.32
Kendall Gill	53	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-9	10	14.5	17.0	-2.44	15.3	14.3	0.98
Jayson Williams	82	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	15.4	16.8	-1.46	15.1	13.6	1.54
David Benoit	34	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	15.8	15.5	0.36	15.3	14.7	0.65
Sam Cassell	70	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.32	-13	5	-18	14.7	18.1	-3.43	14.7	15.4	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	93.3%
NJN 76, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0	92.7%
NOH 97, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.15,0	92.4%