NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	7.6 [301]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +12.9%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	3.0 [211]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -20.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Moiso	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	15	70%	0.32	6	-0.25	3	100%	0.03
Courtney Alexander	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	-0.06	0.12	0.00	10	42%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	15	68%	0.22	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	14	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	16	51%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	18	33%	-0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	26.3	14.8	25.1	2.3	38.3	131.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +52.3%

PHX -12.8%

NOH +25.8%

PHX -18.9%

NOH +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	101.0	95.8	101.6
season	15.9	15.0		101.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	17.0	15.8	13.4	15.4
PHX	14.7	16.5	13.6	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Alexander	45	44	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-1	7	14.1	16.5	-2.40	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Jamal Mashburn	84	84	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	15.3	16.4	-1.15	15.2	10.7	4.49
P.J. Brown	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.8	17.5	-2.71	15.0	13.2	1.76
Robert Traylor	46	45	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	14.0	16.7	-2.74	14.0	15.1	-1.12
David Wesley	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	7	-9	15.0	16.3	-1.36	14.8	14.1	0.67
Kenny Anderson	32	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	-2	9	16.3	15.0	1.36	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Jerome Moiso	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	6	-7	17.5	14.8	2.71	13.2	15.0	-1.76
George Lynch	59	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	2	1	15.9	14.6	1.36	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Jamaal Magloire	49	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	9	-13	17.1	13.7	3.38	15.4	13.7	1.64
Stacey Augmon	5	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	20.0	15.2	4.85	10.7	14.8	-4.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	19	18	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-8	11	13.8	14.8	-1.00	15.4	15.4	0.05
Tom Gugliotta	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	14.2	14.7	-0.55	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Bo Outlaw	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	14.3	14.6	-0.33	17.4	15.2	2.15
Jake Voskuhl	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-7	9	15.6	13.3	2.37	15.6	15.1	0.53
Casey Jacobsen	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	4	-13	14.3	14.7	-0.39	15.5	15.4	0.12
Joe Johnson	86	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-9	13	14.9	12.1	2.78	15.5	14.6	0.87
Shawn Marion	78	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.8	13.8	1.00	15.3	15.9	-0.67
Dan Langhi	35	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	12.5	15.8	-3.23	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	3	-11	15.0	13.4	1.57	15.7	14.5	1.21
Stephon Marbury	85	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	14.4	16.3	-1.90	15.3	16.4	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	92.6%
CHI 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.4%
GSW 116, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.22,0.24,0.05,0,0,0	91.8%