NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	5.0 [797]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +25.8%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	1.2 [1134]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.00	20	63%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	15	41%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.05	-0.00	20	77%	0.29	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	20	60%	0.12	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	10	23%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.2	15.0	25.3	2.7	31.3	126.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.2%

CHH +16.0%

CHH +14.3%

NYK -5.5%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	17.0	15.2	96.6	109.2	101.7
season	16.1	14.9		100.0	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		99.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	16.2	17.6	15.7	16.0
CHH	16.1	16.5	16.0	19.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	16.7	15.6	1.05	15.8	17.4	-1.64
Rick Brunson	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	16.4	15.8	0.62	17.0	17.0	0.05
Latrell Sprewell	85	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-9	8	15.6	25.0	-9.36	17.3	6.3	11.01
Kurt Thomas	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-9	8	15.9	16.5	-0.63	17.4	13.7	3.71
John Wallace	27	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	3	-16	17.7	15.2	2.47	15.1	17.8	-2.69
Charlie Ward	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.8	16.4	-0.62	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Allan Houston	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	15.6	17.4	-1.80	17.1	16.6	0.41
Patrick Ewing	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	1	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.33	17.0	16.7	0.38

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-5	20	17.0	17.0	-0.04	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Eddie Jones	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	16.9	17.9	-1.00	16.2	13.7	2.43
Anthony Mason	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-4	18	16.7	17.9	-1.16	15.9	16.2	-0.34
David Wesley	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-2	14	16.7	18.1	-1.41	15.6	17.5	-1.89
Elden Campbell	74	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	9	-8	17.1	16.2	0.86	15.5	18.1	-2.60
Brad Miller	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	5	0	16.1	17.2	-1.08	17.0	15.6	1.33
Dale Ellis	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	18.0	16.6	1.47	16.2	15.8	0.41
Baron Davis	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	18.0	16.6	1.47	16.8	15.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,1,1	95.1%
SAS 95, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
MEM 98, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%