NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	5.9 [641]		MVP	Vince Carter (MEM): +17.1%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.5 [1055]		LVP	Matt Barnes (MEM): -19.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	8	70%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Chris Andersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	12	28%	-0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	6	7%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	78%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.01,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	16	50%	0.12	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.6	31.5	15.6	29.1	1.7	35.3	140.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.8%

MEM -0.4%

TOR +8.8%

MEM -1.2%

TOR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	14.9	89.5	104.3	105.1
season	15.7	16.1		103.4	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.8		104.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	14.5	14.8	14.7	14.5
TOR	16.7	15.5	15.8	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	37	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.21	8	-21	29	15.6	13.8	1.80	16.8	15.4	1.33
Brandan Wright	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-9	5	14.6	14.4	0.27	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Mario Chalmers	40	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	14.3	14.6	-0.34	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Vince Carter	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-8	3	14.3	14.9	-0.68	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Chris Andersen	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-8	3	14.0	14.6	-0.61	16.1	16.0	0.08
Matt Barnes	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	13.8	15.8	-2.07	16.6	14.8	1.76
PJ Hairston	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.3	14.1	1.18	17.3	15.4	1.88
Zach Randolph	70	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-1	-11	14.7	13.8	0.94	17.0	13.6	3.34
Lance Stephenson	46	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	14.5	14.5	0.05	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Mike Conley	68	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	4	-21	14.3	15.0	-0.71	16.1	15.8	0.26

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	59	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.01	22	-9	31	14.9	17.8	-2.84	14.7	14.2	0.45
Kyle Lowry	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	16.7	13.1	3.61	15.2	11.3	3.97
Terrence Ross	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	3	7	15.1	17.2	-2.19	14.3	14.8	-0.53
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	3	7	16.2	15.3	0.85	14.0	16.1	-2.16
Cory Joseph	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	2	9	14.7	17.7	-3.05	14.0	15.1	-1.16
Bismack Biyombo	35	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	1	11	13.5	17.5	-3.94	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Jonas Valanciunas	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	12	-11	17.5	13.5	3.94	14.6	14.3	0.26
James Johnson	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	15	-17	17.8	15.2	2.56	15.2	14.2	0.97
Luis Scola	35	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	22	-31	17.8	14.9	2.84	14.2	14.7	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHH 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.1%
DET 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
SAC 100, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.95,1	94.4%