NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	6.0 [596]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +15.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.6 [1064]		LVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): -24.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.02	14	66%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Thompson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	18	47%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	11	18%	-0.13	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.01	19	62%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	15	80%	0.26	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	3	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.09
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	29.4	16.5	26.4	1.8	28.5	128.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

LAL +21.9%

LAL +1.7%

SAC -5.5%

SAC -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.3	108.7	116.5	106.0
season	15.2	15.7		103.7	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	17.5	13.8	15.6	15.1
LAL	14.0	16.0	13.9	23.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	35	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-11	16	13.7	16.0	-2.31	14.1	17.7	-3.61
Andres Nocioni	31	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-13	20	15.5	14.9	0.55	18.8	15.1	3.73
Jon Brockman	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-13	20	15.6	15.0	0.58	23.6	14.6	8.97
Francisco Garcia	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	15.4	14.8	0.66	17.4	15.3	2.07
Carl Landry	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	14.7	15.9	-1.21	17.8	13.3	4.53
Omri Casspi	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	5	-16	15.3	15.0	0.30	13.6	19.8	-6.18
Jason Thompson	86	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.9	18.5	-3.62	15.6	27.2	-11.57
Beno Udrih	84	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	1	-8	15.3	13.2	2.05	16.9	9.4	7.51
Donte Greene	44	42	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.05	-21	15	-36	16.0	14.3	1.64	13.7	18.6	-4.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	79	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-3	12	16.2	17.7	-1.50	14.9	16.5	-1.52
Sasha Vujacic	47	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	16.8	15.9	0.83	15.7	14.4	1.32
Metta World Peace	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-8	22	14.5	18.8	-4.30	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Pau Gasol	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	1	4	15.5	18.4	-2.88	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Luke Walton	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	19.7	13.8	5.92	16.5	14.1	2.46
DJ Mbenga	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	5	-4	18.4	15.5	2.88	15.7	14.9	0.83
Lamar Odom	68	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	11	-16	16.2	16.7	-0.50	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Derek Fisher	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	3	0	15.1	17.3	-2.21	14.2	15.8	-1.64
Josh Powell	16	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	7	-8	21.9	15.2	6.69	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Jordan Farmar	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	10.6	17.4	-6.84	16.6	14.8	1.80
Adam Morrison	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	17.5	16.2	1.24	16.1	15.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MEM 85, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,1,1	94.4%
ATL 88, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.3%