NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	4.4 [906]		MVP	Al Thornton (LAC): +25.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	1.7 [470]		LVP	Acie Law (ATL): -8.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	14	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	21	48%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.05	-0.00	20	73%	0.29	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	47%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	14	43%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	52%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.07	8	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	24.2	14.8	29.0	1.8	33.3	129.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.3%

ATL -0.1%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +18.0%

ATL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	17.9	15.4	97.8	106.7	105.7
season	15.4	15.6		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	15.8	13.8	11.6	14.3
LAC	17.4	18.3	18.9	16.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.43	13	-20	33	12.1	14.9	-2.82	16.9	18.1	-1.18
Anthony Johnson	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	15.6	13.0	2.56	18.8	16.9	1.90
Zaza Pachulia	17	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	4	-15	17.0	13.7	3.29	18.1	17.8	0.24
Marvin Williams	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	3	-13	15.9	12.3	3.53	18.0	17.7	0.32
Al Horford	65	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-13	19	13.3	16.9	-3.58	18.0	17.6	0.35
Tyronn Lue	23	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.19	-17	10	-27	13.4	14.7	-1.27	17.7	17.9	-0.26
Joe Johnson	78	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.8	17.7	-3.94	18.2	15.9	2.38
Josh Smith	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-7	7	14.4	13.6	0.78	17.4	23.6	-6.19
Josh Childress	69	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	6	-19	14.1	15.1	-1.06	17.5	19.0	-1.51

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	62	65	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-11	29	17.0	19.9	-2.85	14.4	14.2	0.24
Aaron Williams	53	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-6	19	17.0	19.2	-2.19	14.9	13.6	1.37
Brevin Knight	43	45	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-15	37	17.7	18.0	-0.37	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Tim Thomas	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	10	-13	18.1	17.0	1.07	13.8	16.4	-2.57
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	18.2	15.8	2.35	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Sam Cassell	56	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	14	-21	17.4	18.7	-1.32	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Quinton Ross	51	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	7	-7	18.4	17.2	1.14	13.8	15.1	-1.22
Josh Powell	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	11	-15	19.6	16.9	2.65	15.2	13.8	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 120, PHI 143	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 72, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%