NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	5.0 [803]		MVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.2 [1139]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -7.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.04	16	61%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.06	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.06	17	57%	0.03	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.06	-0.05	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.22	0.04	0.11	30	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.0	31.0	14.8	28.5	2.6	27.4	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.3%

MEM -14.4%

LAL +17.3%

LAL +14.2%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.3	108.9	123.9	106.0
season	15.4	15.7		106.8	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	14.8	16.1	15.0	15.4
LAL	15.0	15.8	15.2	19.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	6.0	15.6	-9.63	21.0	16.1	4.88
Marcus Williams	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	6.0	15.6	-9.63	21.0	16.1	4.88
Steven Hunter	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-17	18	11.3	16.2	-4.89	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Sam Young	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-17	18	14.6	15.7	-1.03	18.2	15.6	2.60
Mike Conley	45	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-10	4	16.7	14.1	2.60	17.5	14.8	2.74
DeMarre Carroll	42	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-10	4	14.1	16.6	-2.51	15.1	17.1	-2.00
Zach Randolph	68	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.3	12.6	3.73	16.2	16.2	0.04
O.J. Mayo	67	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-3	-10	15.6	15.0	0.55	16.7	14.6	2.09
Marc Gasol	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-2	-12	16.3	13.6	2.69	15.5	17.7	-2.13
Allen Iverson	46	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-3	-10	14.4	16.5	-2.04	14.4	17.9	-3.49
Rudy Gay	82	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	5	-26	15.8	11.5	4.29	16.4	14.9	1.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.15	28	-12	40	16.4	15.8	0.54	15.6	14.9	0.66
Kobe Bryant	63	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	0	16	16.1	16.4	-0.27	16.4	13.4	3.07
Josh Powell	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	9	-2	16.0	16.5	-0.52	13.4	17.7	-4.27
DJ Mbenga	55	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	3	10	16.2	16.3	-0.16	17.1	13.2	3.90
Luke Walton	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	9	-2	16.3	16.1	0.19	14.2	16.3	-2.17
Derek Fisher	46	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	12	-8	15.4	17.1	-1.72	17.4	13.6	3.89
Shannon Brown	17	18	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	13	-10	18.6	15.7	2.97	14.6	15.6	-1.07
Jordan Farmar	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	9	-2	17.1	15.5	1.68	13.5	17.1	-3.63
Sasha Vujacic	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	14	-12	14.1	16.7	-2.62	12.4	16.1	-3.77
Lamar Odom	55	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	16	-16	16.1	16.4	-0.34	15.7	14.9	0.78
Adam Morrison	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	23	-30	17.3	16.1	1.22	19.2	15.0	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%