NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	5.6 [690]		MVP	Kyle Anderson (SAS): +13.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	1.2 [959]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -6.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jeff Ayres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	18	48%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.03	21	51%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	89%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	18	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	2	87%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	29.9	14.8	25.6	2.8	32.2	127.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.8%

POR +8.0%

POR +12.7%

POR +10.8%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.1	97.9	112.5	104.2
season	15.4	15.3		106.9	106.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	16.4	15.1	13.9	15.0
POR	13.5	13.1	17.6	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-14	15	15.0	15.0	-0.00	18.1	14.4	3.67
Aron Baynes	68	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	14.4	16.4	-2.02	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Austin Daye	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-6	-1	18.2	14.6	3.59	15.4	14.8	0.65
Kawhi Leonard	67	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.5	-0.68	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Danny Green	63	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-13	13	14.5	16.0	-1.49	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Cory Joseph	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-11	9	15.4	13.8	1.60	15.3	13.0	2.30
Boris Diaw	75	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	14.4	17.0	-2.59	14.4	16.2	-1.74
Jeff Ayres	29	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	16.4	14.4	2.02	15.3	14.7	0.62
Marco Belinelli	47	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	4	-21	15.0	15.0	-0.08	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Kyle Anderson	39	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	2	-17	15.8	14.5	1.29	14.9	14.8	0.17

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	35	37	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.9	13.8	3.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-2	17	14.5	15.7	-1.28	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Steve Blake	34	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	3	7	15.0	14.8	0.24	16.2	14.3	1.83
Damian Lillard	70	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	5	3	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.6	16.1	-1.56
Allen Crabbe	25	28	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	2	9	15.3	14.7	0.59	15.5	14.8	0.75
Wesley Matthews	73	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	11	-9	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.4	16.8	-2.34
Nicolas Batum	71	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	11	-9	14.7	15.3	-0.59	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Will Barton	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	7	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.07	17.7	14.5	3.15
Thomas Robinson	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	9	-5	15.5	14.7	0.85	12.8	15.5	-2.68
Joel Freeland	28	27	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	15	-17	15.7	14.5	1.28	16.6	14.4	2.21
Meyers Leonard	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	28.0	14.7	13.29	6.0	15.1	-9.09
Robin Lopez	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	19	-25	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.3	15.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 92, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.0%
CLE 102, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%