NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	5.7 [667]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): +21.4%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.1 [1062]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -9.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.06	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	13	66%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	71%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	21	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Jason Kapono	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.05	0.09	19	78%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	55%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	10	56%	-0.06	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	30.2	16.4	20.5	2.7	27.0	127.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.2%

CLE -6.2%

GSW +4.6%

CLE -1.0%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.7	110.9	126.6	100.5
season	15.7	16.1		99.8	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	15.3	17.2	16.2	16.3
GSW	14.7	14.1	13.5	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-15	13	14.9	16.5	-1.58	18.6	14.3	4.32
Kevin Ollie	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-12	7	14.8	17.0	-2.20	14.3	14.8	-0.47
DeSagana Diop	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-16	15	15.6	16.8	-1.21	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Jason Kapono	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-15	13	16.0	16.5	-0.43	16.1	14.0	2.18
Carlos Boozer	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-13	9	16.8	15.9	0.88	13.3	15.9	-2.58
Dajuan Wagner	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-12	7	16.9	16.0	0.87	14.6	14.7	-0.19
Ira Newble	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-8	-1	16.4	16.3	0.08	16.9	13.5	3.45
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-3	-11	17.1	15.6	1.44	14.8	14.5	0.35
Eric Williams	62	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-2	-13	16.5	15.8	0.72	13.7	16.7	-2.93
Darius Miles	53	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-3	-11	16.0	16.8	-0.79	15.3	13.8	1.54
LeBron James	83	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.6	14.1	2.44	14.3	18.6	-4.30

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-9	35	14.2	17.7	-3.43	17.0	11.0	5.96
Avery Johnson	30	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	10	-3	14.6	14.7	-0.15	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Calbert Cheaney	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.10	14	3	11	15.0	14.2	0.78	16.1	16.6	-0.52
Erick Dampier	71	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	-1	19	14.4	15.6	-1.24	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Jason Richardson	75	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	5	7	14.3	16.2	-1.93	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Mike Dunleavy	56	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	12	-7	15.3	13.7	1.61	16.6	15.9	0.76
Mickael Pietrus	26	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	19	-21	14.6	14.7	-0.08	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Speedy Claxton	64	64	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	7	3	14.7	14.6	0.15	16.3	16.2	0.09
Adonal Foyle	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	20	-23	16.6	14.5	2.08	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Popeye Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.3	14.5	5.85	12.5	16.4	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
VAN 98, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
IND 96, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.6%