NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	5.3 [738]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +10.8%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	1.9 [964]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -16.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	73%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	3	78%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	17	57%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Ike Austin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.04	6	56%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.05
Rod Strickland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	14	37%	-0.10	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.16	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	20	40%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	81%	0.18	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	16	69%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	14	58%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	5	92%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	8	58%	0.05	3	-0.03	10	60%	-0.05
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	30.7	16.4	21.4	1.7	33.2	130.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +55.8%

IND +4.5%

WAS -19.9%

IND +9.5%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	13.2	15.2	100.0	114.7	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		101.1	106.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		101.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	15.9	17.1	14.3	15.0
IND	14.2	14.1	11.7	12.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	38	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	14.1	15.6	-1.46	13.3	13.2	0.17
Gerard King	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	11.0	15.3	-4.32	14.0	13.2	0.84
Richard Hamilton	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-20	25	13.5	15.4	-1.88	14.2	12.9	1.23
Reggie Jordan	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-18	21	11.7	15.3	-3.68	13.0	13.2	-0.24
Tracy Murray	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-7	-1	16.3	14.4	1.88	13.3	13.2	0.12
Chris Whitney	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-13	11	14.5	15.2	-0.68	14.3	12.8	1.52
Ike Austin	39	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-4	-7	15.2	14.9	0.26	12.2	13.7	-1.49
Jahidi White	48	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.3	1.46	14.2	12.2	2.00
Rod Strickland	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.07	-13	-2	-11	15.2	14.5	0.68	12.8	14.3	-1.52
Juwan Howard	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	2	-19	15.1	14.9	0.17	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Michael Smith	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-7	-1	15.1	15.0	0.11	13.1	13.4	-0.33
Mitch Richmond	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	5	-25	15.4	13.5	1.88	12.9	14.2	-1.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	76	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-4	23	13.4	12.6	0.81	15.7	13.0	2.70
Jalen Rose	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-8	31	12.6	15.4	-2.87	15.2	14.3	0.98
Rik Smits	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	2	11	12.0	14.5	-2.45	15.2	14.9	0.31
Mark Jackson	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	3	9	12.6	14.0	-1.39	15.2	14.8	0.39
Dale Davis	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	6	3	13.8	12.2	1.69	15.2	14.7	0.58
Travis Best	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	9	-3	13.8	12.8	0.94	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Sam Perkins	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	5	5	14.0	12.7	1.27	15.3	14.8	0.50
Austin Croshere	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	12	-9	12.9	13.4	-0.54	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Jonathan Bender	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	14.0	13.2	0.84	11.0	15.3	-4.32
Jeff Foster	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	14.5	13.2	1.34	8.0	15.2	-7.23
Chris Mullin	35	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	18	-21	13.8	12.9	0.89	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Al Harrington	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	20	-25	15.0	13.0	2.02	13.6	15.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAS 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	94.9%
DET 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%