inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 99 Excitement5.6 [739] MVPAaron Gordon (ORL): +25.2%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.9 [869] LVPJarrett Jack (NYK): -11.8%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug McDermott0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.02972%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Enes Kanter0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02683%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.010.042158%0.113-0.093100%0.01
Willy Hernangomez0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01657%0.0200.0020%-0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damyean Dotson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.04-0.02763%0.053-0.075100%0.03
Lance Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.00640%-0.0300.00367%-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00757%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01540%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Frank Ntilikina-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.00743%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.00475%0.036-0.1500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.190.130.071187%0.2500.00250%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.010.001669%0.181-0.033100%0.02
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.001062%0.152-0.06650%-0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.02560%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02270%0.0300.00650%-0.03
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01958%0.052-0.051100%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03633%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.030.061664%0.064-0.11450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.624.814.624.42.630.2126.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +37.1%
NYK -3.6%
NYK -8.5%
ORL +28.3%
NYK -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKORLNBANYKORLNBA
this game16.513.914.7105.3116.7107.5
season14.914.6105.9104.2
opponent14.514.5109.1109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK18.114.616.316.916.5
ORL11.715.413.715.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug McDermott56580.00-0.500.50-0.238-212916.815.90.8614.413.11.29
Damyean Dotson44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-13137.516.9-9.3614.213.90.38
Mindaugas Kuzminskas44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-13137.516.9-9.3614.213.90.38
Kyle O'Quinn4141-0.03-0.470.43-0.216-192517.215.91.3112.614.8-2.23
Lance Thomas4444-0.06-0.440.38-0.205-182317.415.61.7513.714.0-0.29
Willy Hernangomez1313-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-11916.216.5-0.2617.513.34.23
Jarrett Jack5051-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-3-716.316.7-0.3813.414.4-1.05
Frank Ntilikina4445-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-10716.716.30.3814.413.41.05
Michael Beasley4042-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-174-2115.817.0-1.1914.013.80.20
Enes Kanter4042-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-174-2115.817.0-1.1914.013.80.20
Tim Hardaway Jr.7577-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-152-1717.313.33.9413.415.7-2.31
Courtney Lee5959-0.550.05-0.590.04-207-2716.117.1-0.9614.013.80.21

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon73730.69-0.190.880.0123-103313.315.7-2.3216.715.80.90
Elfrid Payton58570.53-0.030.56-0.0620-72714.512.91.6016.716.10.58
Evan Fournier67660.490.010.48-0.0117-42113.315.2-1.9417.314.52.84
Nikola Vucevic65640.480.020.460.0116-31913.614.6-1.0316.716.00.67
Terrence Ross47470.210.29-0.080.0949-514.613.21.4317.015.91.13
Jonathan Isaac46450.130.37-0.250.07211-914.613.21.4314.818.0-3.14
Bismack Biyombo31300.020.48-0.460.11-316-1914.613.61.0316.016.7-0.67
Wes Iwundu440.000.50-0.500.00013-1314.213.90.387.516.9-9.36
Jonathon Simmons4845-0.010.51-0.530.19-720-2713.813.9-0.1017.115.91.21
Shelvin Mack4139-0.030.53-0.560.17-720-2713.314.3-1.0315.717.0-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 102, IND 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
NYK 102, MIL 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,194.5%
ATL 92, NJN 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.2%