NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	5.5 [682]		MVP	Jim Jackson (NJN): +13.2%
New Jersey Nets	108		Comeback	1.8 [304]		LVP	Henry James (ATL): -9.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	11	73%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Priest Lauderdale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Henry James	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	78%	0.26	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jack Haley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	19	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.04	13	85%	0.03
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.03	-0.03	12	33%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.2	24.6	15.5	25.3	1.5	23.2	114.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.0%

NJN +10.4%

NJN +3.5%

NJN +4.0%

NJN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.6	95.8	112.5	104.4
season	16.4	15.4		105.3	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.0		106.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.9	15.7	15.8	15.7
NJN	14.1	12.9	15.6	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	31	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-19	22	15.5	15.8	-0.32	15.3	13.9	1.45
Tyrone Corbin	43	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-14	12	16.0	15.4	0.65	14.5	14.2	0.24
Steven Smith	57	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-11	6	15.5	15.9	-0.39	15.3	13.1	2.16
Ivano Newbill	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-9	2	14.6	16.0	-1.39	12.4	15.0	-2.67
Christian Laettner	42	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-13	10	15.8	15.6	0.25	15.4	13.6	1.87
Priest Lauderdale	41	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-14	12	15.0	16.1	-1.08	13.3	15.2	-1.83
Dikembe Mutombo	29	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-9	2	16.7	15.2	1.47	15.4	13.9	1.55
Alan Henderson	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-3	-10	15.9	15.3	0.65	14.7	13.8	0.82
Henry James	39	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	-6	-4	15.9	15.5	0.39	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Jon Barry	53	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-1	-14	15.4	16.0	-0.65	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Eldridge Recasner	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.03	-19	3	-22	15.8	15.5	0.32	13.9	15.3	-1.45

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	86	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-9	34	14.0	16.9	-2.87	16.4	10.4	5.99
Jim Jackson	90	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.04	14	2	12	14.2	16.2	-1.96	15.9	12.5	3.38
Tony Massenburg	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	10	-4	15.0	12.6	2.44	15.9	15.1	0.79
Kerry Kittles	79	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	14.9	11.5	3.41	15.4	16.9	-1.42
Eric Montross	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	2	12	14.3	14.4	-0.12	15.5	16.2	-0.77
Xavier McDaniel	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	4	8	13.6	15.3	-1.70	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Yinka Dare	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	15	-14	14.1	14.4	-0.29	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Jack Haley	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	10.2	14.5	-4.26	9.0	15.9	-6.88
Joe Kleine	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	18	-20	14.5	14.3	0.16	15.4	15.7	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	94.8%
SAS 95, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%