NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	80		Excitement	6.3 [550]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +10.5%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.4 [800]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -16.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	19	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Brad Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	14	40%	-0.06	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	49%	-0.09	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	6	39%	-0.06	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	19	70%	0.21	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.02
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	12	42%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	54%	0.06	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ben Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	47%	-0.00	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	14.8	25.3	2.4	28.3	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.4%

PHX +4.3%

PHX +3.6%

CHH -19.8%

CHH -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHX	NBA	CHH	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.2	86.0	92.5	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		101.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		96.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.3	14.7	17.5	14.2	15.2
PHX	15.0	17.3	13.0	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Ricky Davis	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-4	2	14.9	15.3	-0.35	16.7	15.6	1.11
Eddie Robinson	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	14.6	15.7	-1.13	15.9	15.7	0.22
Brad Miller	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.12	16.5	15.3	1.13
Baron Davis	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	0	-6	15.9	14.5	1.38	16.6	15.0	1.60
Anthony Mason	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.4	-0.25	15.3	18.1	-2.81
Elden Campbell	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.4	-0.19	15.3	18.4	-3.15
Derrick Coleman	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	15.4	14.5	0.86	16.2	13.6	2.58
David Wesley	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.4	19.3	-3.96

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	60	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.29	12	-6	18	15.3	16.5	-1.13	15.5	14.6	0.90
Oliver Miller	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-9	24	15.5	16.2	-0.76	16.2	13.6	2.54
Clifford Robinson	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-1	8	15.4	17.5	-2.11	15.1	15.9	-0.89
Jason Kidd	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	15.7	15.9	-0.13	15.5	14.1	1.36
Rex Chapman	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	7	-8	15.4	16.4	-1.00	15.5	14.7	0.76
Todd Day	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	-1	8	16.5	15.2	1.31	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Randy Livingston	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	15.9	15.7	0.13	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Ben Davis	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.03	16.3	15.1	1.22
Tom Gugliotta	32	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	14	-22	17.7	14.7	2.95	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Luc Longley	35	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	15.7	15.8	-0.06	14.7	15.5	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.0%
LAL 115, CHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.0%
BOS 104, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.8%