NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	6.1 [607]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (CHI): +31.9%
Chicago Bulls	126		Comeback	1.2 [1119]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): -5.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	19	54%	0.07	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	20	47%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	6	25%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	16	53%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.14	0.01	14	86%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	6	89%	0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	9	84%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	85%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.03	0.06	15	63%	0.09	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.3	30.7	16.7	24.8	2.6	36.3	139.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.0%

CHI +6.2%

LAL -24.6%

CHI +8.7%

LAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	14.9	125.0	134.0	105.1
season	15.2	14.8		100.1	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.5		105.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	15.9	19.0	14.9	16.5
CHI	13.0	14.1	13.8	17.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	31	33	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-22	33	14.0	17.8	-3.87	15.7	13.8	1.86
Brandon Bass	51	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-18	25	15.4	18.0	-2.56	15.9	12.7	3.19
Kobe Bryant	53	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	16.5	16.5	0.03	13.9	15.2	-1.23
Lou Williams	48	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-11	11	16.0	17.2	-1.20	14.9	13.9	1.01
Jordan Clarkson	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-7	3	16.2	17.6	-1.41	14.7	13.5	1.26
Nick Young	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.5	16.5	-0.03	15.2	13.9	1.23
Roy Hibbert	41	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	7	-25	18.0	15.4	2.56	12.7	15.9	-3.19
D'Angelo Russell	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	7	-25	17.3	14.7	2.64	13.8	16.0	-2.25
Julius Randle	61	61	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.03	-22	11	-33	17.8	14.0	3.87	13.8	15.7	-1.86

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.00	19	-8	27	14.0	15.9	-1.90	17.3	13.8	3.53
Mike Dunleavy	49	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-3	17	13.9	15.1	-1.25	17.5	15.5	1.94
Aaron Brooks	32	31	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-4	19	14.8	14.3	0.54	17.2	16.2	1.00
E'Twaun Moore	82	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	7	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.00	16.4	17.4	-0.99
Taj Gibson	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	8	-5	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Tony Snell	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	2	7	14.7	14.4	0.35	17.2	16.4	0.79
Derrick Rose	62	61	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	15	-19	14.3	14.8	-0.54	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Cristiano Felicio	8	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	8	-5	13.0	14.6	-1.59	17.7	16.4	1.33
Bobby Portis	51	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	14	-17	15.2	13.6	1.57	15.2	18.0	-2.76
Doug McDermott	41	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	16	-21	15.3	13.8	1.52	15.5	17.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 80, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
DEN 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%