NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	7.8 [272]		MVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): +24.4%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.9 [694]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -29.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	-0.10	0.16	-0.03	25	56%	0.28	8	-0.19	11	82%	0.05
Larry Hughes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.12	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.17,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.01	15	72%	0.35	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.08
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.03	15	58%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	11	43%	-0.10	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	20	42%	-0.05	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	14	42%	-0.15	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	26.4	17.8	27.4	2.4	36.2	137.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.0%

PHI +28.0%

GSW -24.0%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.2	102.1	97.9	101.7
season	15.0	14.7		99.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.5		105.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	14.7	12.5	15.0	14.0
GSW	15.8	16.6	18.0	14.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	13.9	14.3	-0.36	15.7	20.0	-4.33
Tyrone Hill	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	14.4	13.0	1.48	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Allen Iverson	80	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-1	5	13.8	14.9	-1.05	15.7	19.2	-3.54
Matt Geiger	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	4	-5	14.7	12.7	1.99	17.1	14.5	2.61
Billy Owens	58	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-6	15	14.0	13.9	0.05	17.4	14.0	3.42
Eric Snow	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	9	-15	13.5	14.7	-1.21	14.5	18.6	-4.17
Aaron McKie	32	31	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	0	3	13.1	14.4	-1.29	17.4	15.6	1.80
Todd MacCulloch	8	7	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-2	7	10.0	14.3	-4.34	16.6	16.1	0.44
Larry Hughes	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	15.6	13.3	2.25	17.6	15.6	1.93
Bruce Bowen	1	0	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	0.0	14.1	-14.13	0.0	16.2	-16.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	16.9	16.1	0.86	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Drew Barry	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	0	-3	18.1	15.6	2.53	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Jason Caffey	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.52	11	-14	25	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.9	11.7	3.21
Antawn Jamison	87	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	15.6	21.8	-6.19	13.8	15.7	-1.86
John Starks	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.5	22.0	-6.51	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Adonal Foyle	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	8	-19	16.4	15.9	0.45	14.2	13.7	0.46
Vonteego Cummings	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.1	12.9	1.21
Donyell Marshall	71	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	16.8	14.5	2.28	13.5	15.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.24,0.15,0	92.4%
WAS 88, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	91.6%
DAL 109, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	91.5%