NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	8.0 [275]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): +26.1%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.9 [802]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -19.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.26	0.12	0.14	-0.00	7	76%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.04	-0.00	19	69%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	13	47%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
JR Smith	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	5	21%	-0.08	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.21,-0.14,-0.2	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	14	53%	0.05	6	-0.25	8	75%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	16	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	13	40%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	19	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	10	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	28.8	14.0	30.7	1.8	32.2	134.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.4%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +32.6%

DAL -20.9%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	12.8	14.6	14.7	105.7	99.0	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		111.2	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		108.1	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.4	13.4	13.5	12.2	12.8
DAL	15.3	15.4	15.9	12.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	73	72	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-6	19	14.0	10.2	3.81	15.4	12.8	2.67
Jae Crowder	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-2	11	13.4	11.4	2.02	14.2	15.6	-1.41
JR Smith	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	13.4	10.9	2.52	14.2	15.8	-1.58
LeBron James	90	89	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	13.2	10.4	2.84	14.7	14.1	0.55
Iman Shumpert	82	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	0	7	12.7	13.3	-0.65	15.0	13.1	1.90
Jeff Green	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	10.2	14.2	-4.01	13.7	15.1	-1.47
Kyle Korver	44	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	12	-17	12.5	13.0	-0.50	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Channing Frye	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	9.6	13.1	-3.50	15.9	14.5	1.36
Dwyane Wade	34	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	9	-11	10.9	13.8	-2.85	14.8	14.5	0.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	15.1	14.5	0.63	10.7	13.2	-2.54
Maxi Kleber	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	15.5	14.5	0.96	10.4	13.0	-2.56
Salah Mejri	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.2	14.5	0.76	15.2	12.3	2.90
Devin Harris	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.3	14.3	0.95	10.4	13.7	-3.29
Dirk Nowitzki	60	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	14.1	15.3	-1.22	12.2	13.6	-1.37
Dennis Smith Jr.	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	14.1	15.3	-1.15	14.1	10.9	3.14
J.J. Barea	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-5	3	14.7	14.5	0.29	11.8	13.8	-2.03
Dwight Powell	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	4	-15	15.8	14.0	1.81	10.7	13.9	-3.14
Harrison Barnes	83	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.9	-0.40	13.4	10.3	3.14
Yogi Ferrell	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	14.3	15.3	-0.95	13.7	10.4	3.29
Wesley Matthews	89	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.63	13.2	10.7	2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0	92.4%
CHI 94, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.15,0	92.1%
ORL 93, NYK 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.06,0.09,0.02,0	91.8%