NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	5.1 [819]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +19.7%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	103		Comeback	1.2 [525]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOK): -10.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.02	0.00	18	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	16	72%	0.22	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	8	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	8	88%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	14	79%	0.24	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.08	10	61%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	1.0	29.1	11.6	30.5	2.0	35.0	141.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.2%

DAL +2.6%

NOK -0.4%

DAL +19.7%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOK	NBA	DAL	NOK	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	15.6	118.5	113.2	104.4
season	16.4	16.3		109.0	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	19.9	15.1	17.6	16.6
NOK	15.2	17.1	15.5	12.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	15.9	18.9	-3.05	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Devin Harris	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	3	0	16.3	16.8	-0.48	13.0	16.7	-3.66
Dirk Nowitzki	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	4	-2	17.4	14.7	2.70	15.0	14.7	0.29
Josh Howard	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-1	8	14.3	17.9	-3.63	15.5	14.5	0.99
Keith Van Horn	57	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	4	-2	16.8	16.1	0.71	14.0	16.4	-2.44
DeSagana Diop	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	1	4	16.1	16.7	-0.59	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Marquis Daniels	59	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	7	-8	17.6	14.7	2.90	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Doug Christie	56	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	3	0	16.5	16.7	-0.18	16.5	12.3	4.13
Erick Dampier	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	16.6	16.5	0.02	16.2	13.9	2.26
Darrell Armstrong	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	6	-6	20.0	16.3	3.73	17.9	14.6	3.25

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	11.0	15.0	-4.00	19.0	16.5	2.50
Rasual Butler	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-5	4	17.7	14.6	3.13	20.3	16.1	4.20
Jackson Vroman	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-3	0	17.4	14.1	3.23	18.1	16.1	2.08
David West	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-12	18	14.0	16.2	-2.27	16.5	16.6	-0.09
P.J. Brown	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-13	20	15.0	14.7	0.25	17.5	14.3	3.20
Speedy Claxton	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-7	8	13.1	17.5	-4.40	16.9	16.1	0.81
Bostjan Nachbar	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	16.0	13.4	2.61	17.0	16.0	0.98
Chris Andersen	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	7	-20	14.7	15.0	-0.25	14.3	17.5	-3.20
J.R. Smith	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-6	6	15.3	14.3	1.05	17.2	15.6	1.65
Desmond Mason	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	7	-20	14.9	15.0	-0.09	15.5	17.7	-2.20
Chris Paul	71	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	5	-16	14.8	15.1	-0.30	15.2	21.9	-6.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.9%
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
WAS 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.0%