NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	4.7 [851]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +17.1%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.2 [929]		LVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	13	71%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	17	59%	0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	12	42%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.02	10	71%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Mirsad Turkcan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	6	92%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	9	60%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	26.1	17.7	26.0	2.0	34.2	136.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.5%

NYK +1.2%

NYK +1.1%

NYK +0.2%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.2	112.2	100.0	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.8		103.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	15.3	13.7	17.9	15.7
HOU	15.3	17.4	16.9	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-2	15	15.0	19.3	-4.27	16.1	17.4	-1.33
Latrell Sprewell	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	0	11	16.2	13.8	2.33	16.6	14.9	1.64
Larry Johnson	69	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-1	13	15.9	15.0	0.93	17.3	13.5	3.78
Charlie Ward	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	3	5	15.0	16.4	-1.41	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Kurt Thomas	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	10	-9	16.3	15.2	1.10	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Chris Childs	46	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	8	-5	16.6	14.8	1.79	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Patrick Ewing	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	15.4	16.3	-0.83	15.8	17.2	-1.42
John Wallace	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	17.4	15.4	2.02	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Marcus Camby	25	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	8	-5	14.0	16.4	-2.42	16.6	16.1	0.51
Mirsad Turkcan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	23.0	15.6	7.37	11.0	16.3	-5.35

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	38	38	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-18	25	15.3	17.0	-1.73	17.6	14.3	3.32
Bryce Drew	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	17.0	16.1	0.88	13.5	16.2	-2.76
Kenny Thomas	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	16.0	16.6	-0.59	16.9	14.6	2.28
Kelvin Cato	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-2	-7	16.4	16.2	0.11	15.9	15.6	0.31
Carlos Rogers	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.2	16.3	-0.11	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Shandon Anderson	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	16.3	16.2	0.11	15.3	16.8	-1.44
Thomas Hamilton	42	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	17.4	15.4	2.00	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Steve Francis	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	0	-11	16.1	17.0	-0.88	16.1	14.1	1.93
Cuttino Mobley	85	84	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	4	-19	16.3	15.4	0.94	15.6	17.3	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	94.9%
SAC 111, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.4%