NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	5.2 [754]		MVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): +6.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Comeback	1.3 [740]		LVP	Darius Miles (CLE): -15.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	6	22%	-0.11	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	16	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.04
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	23	37%	-0.12	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	13	44%	0.00	6	-0.16	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	27.4	15.5	28.4	1.7	35.0	132.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.0%

CLE -3.6%

WAS +7.0%

WAS +12.6%

WAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.5	101.1	85.9	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		100.9	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	15.4	14.6	14.4	14.8
CLE	15.7	18.2	17.5	15.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	4	6	13.8	17.0	-3.19	16.6	16.2	0.43
Bryon Russell	46	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-2	18	15.5	14.1	1.41	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Jared Jeffries	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	4	6	14.7	14.9	-0.22	18.0	15.2	2.75
Jerry Stackhouse	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	3	8	14.5	16.5	-2.04	15.9	19.2	-3.27
Larry Hughes	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	6	2	15.4	14.3	1.13	16.8	16.2	0.57
Brendan Haywood	58	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	11	-8	14.7	15.0	-0.34	16.3	16.9	-0.64
Tyronn Lue	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	8	-2	14.3	15.4	-1.13	16.2	16.8	-0.57
Kwame Brown	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	10	-6	15.3	14.2	1.06	15.3	18.2	-2.89
Etan Thomas	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	13	-12	17.1	14.4	2.63	19.6	16.0	3.64
Juan Dixon	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	13	-12	15.9	14.6	1.28	18.1	16.2	1.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-10	6	15.2	16.6	-1.36	12.0	15.0	-2.98
Smush Parker	26	26	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-5	-4	15.0	17.1	-2.02	12.4	15.8	-3.39
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-14	14	16.2	17.2	-0.99	15.4	13.6	1.85
Milt Palacio	38	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	17.1	16.0	1.09	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Jumaine Jones	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.5	16.5	0.04	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Tyrone Hill	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-7	0	16.5	16.3	0.27	15.5	10.9	4.67
Bimbo Coles	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	16.9	15.3	1.64	15.6	12.4	3.17
Darius Miles	68	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-8	2	16.8	15.6	1.23	15.2	13.4	1.80
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	1	-16	16.3	17.3	-1.04	14.8	14.8	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	95.7%
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
TOR 113, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%