NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	5.6 [704]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +12.7%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.5 [504]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -20.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	12	78%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	11	44%	0.08	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	16	62%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	14	86%	0.06
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	92%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	16	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	11	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	0.06	6	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	11	23%	-0.10	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	35.0	14.8	30.4	2.4	36.4	149.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.5%

TOR +10.0%

TOR +5.9%

TOR +0.3%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	11.7	14.9	103.7	95.4	105.1
season	16.1	13.9		107.2	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	13.3	14.6	18.7	14.9
BOS	10.3	12.9	11.5	12.1	11.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	79	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	14.4	16.0	-1.60	12.0	10.9	1.09
Kyle Lowry	80	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	7	-4	14.6	15.6	-0.93	11.6	11.8	-0.15
Luis Scola	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-1	12	14.1	15.6	-1.52	11.6	11.7	-0.11
Jonas Valanciunas	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	4	2	16.2	13.7	2.53	11.9	11.4	0.46
DeMarre Carroll	80	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	11	-12	14.6	15.5	-0.83	11.3	12.6	-1.33
Bismack Biyombo	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	4	2	14.5	15.0	-0.50	10.8	12.1	-1.33
Terrence Ross	48	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	15.9	14.0	1.87	11.0	12.1	-1.11
James Johnson	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	6	-2	16.2	14.6	1.62	14.1	11.2	2.90
Anthony Bennett	7	8	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	9.7	15.2	-5.51	10.4	11.8	-1.39
Patrick Patterson	56	52	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	8	-6	15.3	14.5	0.82	12.3	11.1	1.18
Cory Joseph	40	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	9	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.03	11.6	11.7	-0.08

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-10	10	11.4	11.8	-0.47	14.3	15.2	-0.96
Amir Johnson	41	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-9	8	11.6	11.7	-0.08	14.7	15.0	-0.20
Tyler Zeller	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	12.4	11.3	1.18	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Isaiah Thomas	65	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-14	18	11.3	12.1	-0.80	15.0	14.7	0.22
Marcus Smart	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-4	-2	11.8	11.5	0.29	15.1	14.6	0.50
David Lee	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-2	-6	11.4	11.8	-0.36	12.9	16.1	-3.16
Jonas Jerebko	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	10.3	11.9	-1.63	15.2	14.8	0.41
Jared Sullinger	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.22	-3	-7	4	11.2	11.8	-0.68	16.1	14.4	1.67
Jae Crowder	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	12.1	10.5	1.56	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Evan Turner	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	11.0	12.6	-1.62	15.8	13.7	2.13
Avery Bradley	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	12.5	10.3	2.17	15.1	14.6	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	95.2%
CLE 109, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%