NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	4.8 [846]		MVP	Jason Collins (NJN): +6.5%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.4 [987]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -16.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	87%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	21	52%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	73%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	25	47%	-0.07	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	14	33%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.2	16.6	26.7	2.0	29.2	128.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.6%

NJN +2.9%

NJN +6.6%

NJN +3.6%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	15.5	112.9	97.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.2		101.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		105.1	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	16.4	13.4	18.6	15.9
TOR	15.8	18.7	17.1	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	15.4	17.3	-1.87	17.8	15.5	2.32
Richard Jefferson	70	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-2	13	15.2	19.0	-3.80	16.9	18.4	-1.51
Jason Kidd	74	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	1	7	15.3	19.6	-4.33	16.8	20.0	-3.23
Jason Collins	43	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	14.7	17.1	-2.37	17.2	17.2	0.07
Kerry Kittles	53	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-1	11	15.2	17.0	-1.86	18.2	15.3	2.90
Lucious Harris	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	17.7	14.0	3.70	16.7	17.7	-1.07
Aaron Williams	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	6	-3	16.7	15.8	0.94	18.5	17.0	1.46
Dikembe Mutombo	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	17.2	15.1	2.11	16.7	17.5	-0.71
Brian Scalabrine	3	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	10	-11	12.7	16.0	-3.32	10.0	17.6	-7.63
Anthony Johnson	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	0.0	15.9	-15.87	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Rodney Rogers	32	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	18.5	14.3	4.27	17.7	16.9	0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-7	5	17.1	17.2	-0.14	18.1	15.5	2.58
Michael Bradley	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-4	-1	19.5	16.0	3.45	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Maceo Baston	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	16.2	17.4	-1.21	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Alvin Williams	70	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-12	15	17.5	16.1	1.39	16.2	14.8	1.32
Jerome Williams	67	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	17.3	17.0	0.21	15.6	16.5	-0.83
Rafer Alston	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	2	-13	15.1	18.1	-3.00	15.7	15.9	-0.26
Jelani McCoy	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	16.3	19.6	-3.32	16.3	14.5	1.79
Vince Carter	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	17.5	15.6	1.93	15.4	18.1	-2.72
Morris Peterson	84	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	17.4	14.6	2.76	15.7	17.8	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	95.7%
LAL 110, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
SEA 102, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%