NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +21.8%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	2.1 [360]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -15.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	10	82%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
John Wall	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	13	73%	0.37	4	-0.20	7	86%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	4	54%	0.06	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	10	43%	-0.04	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Nene	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	40%	-0.02	5	-0.13	6	33%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jack Cooley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.02	19	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	42%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	18	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	28.6	15.4	23.3	2.4	44.6	144.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +62.2%

WAS +13.6%

WAS +11.6%

UTA -40.2%

WAS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.6	15.1	101.1	96.6	104.2
season	15.1	16.2		102.9	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	18.4	14.0	17.7	15.6
UTA	18.8	18.6	18.7	14.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	67	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-4	12	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.7	17.0	0.74
John Wall	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	14.7	18.8	-4.14	17.2	19.1	-1.87
Paul Pierce	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	0	4	14.1	17.8	-3.68	17.9	17.1	0.79
Bradley Beal	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	6	-8	16.3	12.4	3.82	17.9	15.9	1.98
Drew Gooden	32	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	-4	12	15.9	15.3	0.61	18.2	17.2	1.05
Nene	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	8	-12	16.3	13.9	2.45	17.1	18.4	-1.29
Ramon Sessions	35	34	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	2	0	15.2	15.8	-0.54	16.9	17.9	-1.00
Rasual Butler	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	3	-2	13.9	16.0	-2.08	17.0	17.7	-0.66
Toure Murry	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	0.0	15.7	-15.73	0.0	17.6	-17.55
Otto Porter	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	22.1	14.2	7.95	16.0	17.8	-1.85
Kevin Seraphin	13	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.47	19.4	17.2	2.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	36	36	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-6	8	18.3	17.0	1.24	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Joe Ingles	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-8	12	16.4	18.4	-1.98	17.8	14.0	3.84
Jack Cooley	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	15.0	17.6	-2.61	20.5	15.4	5.06
Trevor Booker	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-4	4	16.6	18.2	-1.58	17.9	14.0	3.86
Derrick Favors	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-10	16	17.8	16.7	1.11	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Elijah Millsap	21	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	3	-10	15.6	18.2	-2.61	16.6	15.2	1.43
Gordon Hayward	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	17.6	17.5	0.01	14.8	18.0	-3.23
Rodney Hood	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-2	0	18.3	16.3	2.01	13.8	18.5	-4.66
Trey Burke	51	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	2	-8	17.0	18.3	-1.24	15.9	15.1	0.85
Rudy Gobert	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.26	-13	9	-22	18.5	14.3	4.16	15.0	17.4	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	94.4%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
MIL 94, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0	93.8%