NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	5.9 [614]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +7.9%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.8 [838]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -14.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	19	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	20	37%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	11	93%	0.21	5	-0.13	7	71%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	16	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	18	57%	0.02	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	0.03	0.04	13	50%	0.00	5	-0.12	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	28.2	15.6	25.7	2.0	30.3	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.4%

ATL +14.6%

ATL +34.2%

MIN -21.7%

MIN -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.2	96.9	107.1	101.7
season	15.1	15.4		103.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	13.8	16.6	15.1	14.8
ATL	13.4	15.6	16.1	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	33	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-17	23	13.8	15.2	-1.40	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Sam Mitchell	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	15.2	14.7	0.50	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Tom Hammonds	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	15.7	14.3	1.42	14.8	14.7	0.12
Bobby Jackson	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	0	-11	20.7	14.4	6.28	8.5	15.2	-6.67
Malik Sealy	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.55	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Rasho Nesterovic	75	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	14.6	15.4	-0.82	15.1	13.9	1.19
Terrell Brandon	83	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-9	7	14.2	18.1	-3.94	15.4	11.5	3.90
Anthony Peeler	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.23	14.9	14.6	0.23
Wally Szczerbiak	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	16.1	13.8	2.30	15.2	14.4	0.78
Kevin Garnett	88	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	3	-17	14.6	16.6	-1.96	14.5	18.3	-3.79

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	14.9	14.0	0.89	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Isaiah Rider	87	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	3	5	14.8	14.5	0.25	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Jim Jackson	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	14.6	15.6	-1.07	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Jason Terry	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	14.2	15.3	-1.11	14.5	15.1	-0.64
Alan Henderson	71	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	8	-5	14.8	14.7	0.14	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Bimbo Coles	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	8	-5	15.3	14.2	1.11	15.1	14.5	0.64
Chris Crawford	26	27	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	5	1	15.3	14.6	0.74	16.0	14.3	1.75
Lorenzen Wright	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	14.4	15.0	-0.52	15.6	14.3	1.25
Anthony Johnson	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	8	-5	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.0	14.8	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.7%
CLE 79, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	94.4%