NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Excitement	5.3 [741]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +20.2%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.5 [837]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -13.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	19	49%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	8	10%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	21%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.23	0.03	0.06	18	85%	0.25	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	-0.07	7	19%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	21	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.5	25.0	14.7	23.4	2.3	28.2	127.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.7%

UTA +5.4%

UTA +19.5%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.5	85.6	105.6	101.6
season	14.9	16.3		104.0	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.8		101.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	13.9	16.3	14.0	15.0
UTA	15.4	19.7	15.7	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Igor Rakocevic	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	9.6	15.3	-5.74	14.8	17.1	-2.30
Reggie Slater	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	8.2	15.3	-7.09	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Gary Trent	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-15	12	15.5	14.8	0.72	16.9	17.0	-0.16
Troy Hudson	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-9	0	14.2	16.0	-1.80	17.2	16.6	0.59
Kendall Gill	51	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-15	12	15.0	15.1	-0.05	15.8	18.9	-3.08
Marc Jackson	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-11	4	11.8	15.7	-3.87	16.5	17.1	-0.53
Anthony Peeler	49	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-9	0	15.3	14.7	0.58	17.8	16.1	1.69
Rasho Nesterovic	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-9	0	15.5	14.0	1.46	17.0	17.0	0.02
Joe Smith	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-4	-10	15.2	14.6	0.60	17.2	16.7	0.52
Rod Strickland	51	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	-1	-16	15.7	14.1	1.67	17.2	16.7	0.41
Kevin Garnett	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	-1	-16	15.5	11.8	3.68	17.3	15.1	2.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	74	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-3	24	16.4	19.5	-3.07	15.2	14.0	1.23
Mark Jackson	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	6	6	16.4	17.6	-1.24	15.5	14.6	0.93
Jarron Collins	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-1	20	16.6	17.6	-0.96	14.8	15.4	-0.67
Karl Malone	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	4	10	17.4	15.7	1.66	15.5	13.4	2.14
Andrei Kirilenko	43	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	3	12	16.7	17.2	-0.54	15.4	14.7	0.67
Scott Padgett	28	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	15	-12	16.0	17.4	-1.37	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Calbert Cheaney	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	17	-16	18.2	15.4	2.80	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Greg Ostertag	36	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	17.6	16.6	0.96	15.4	14.8	0.67
John Stockton	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	12	-6	17.6	16.4	1.24	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Carlos Arroyo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.5	17.0	-1.55	9.3	15.2	-5.89
DeShawn Stevenson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.5	17.0	-1.55	9.3	15.2	-5.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 103, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%
LAL 87, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%