NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +24.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.3 [1012]		LVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	29	58%	0.24	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.05
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.01	10	86%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	13	66%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.02	16	71%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	3	91%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	22	37%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	31.0	15.8	24.2	2.8	36.3	136.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.1%

LAL -7.0%

POR +15.0%

POR +4.2%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	16.7	15.6	110.8	121.5	104.4
season	15.6	16.6		106.2	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	11.1	19.8	12.9	14.2
POR	14.6	17.2	16.2	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	17	17	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-15	20	15.9	13.9	2.09	17.0	16.7	0.33
Luke Walton	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-14	18	16.0	13.3	2.74	17.1	16.5	0.56
Chris Mihm	55	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-17	24	13.2	15.7	-2.49	18.3	14.4	3.91
Sasha Vujacic	50	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	13.5	15.1	-1.55	17.5	15.8	1.77
Von Wafer	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	9.4	14.5	-5.11	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Kobe Bryant	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	14.2	14.7	-0.46	17.1	12.6	4.50
Kwame Brown	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	6	-22	15.0	13.6	1.45	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Brian Cook	31	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	5	-20	17.1	12.8	4.24	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Lamar Odom	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	13.2	18.6	-5.36	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Smush Parker	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.11	-16	6	-22	14.1	14.7	-0.64	15.6	20.2	-4.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	84	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	16.9	14.8	2.16	14.4	12.7	1.65
Theo Ratliff	41	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	1	8	17.8	15.9	1.88	15.3	13.4	1.87
Steve Blake	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-2	14	16.1	18.2	-2.07	13.0	17.1	-4.11
Juan Dixon	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	2	6	16.2	18.2	-2.03	13.4	16.5	-3.09
Jarrett Jack	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	3	4	17.1	16.5	0.63	16.8	12.6	4.23
Travis Outlaw	13	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	3	4	14.7	17.1	-2.37	15.4	14.0	1.39
Viktor Khryapa	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	12	-14	17.4	16.3	1.12	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Ruben Patterson	59	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	8	-6	16.3	17.5	-1.26	14.3	14.1	0.16
Sebastian Telfair	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	12	-14	19.2	16.1	3.05	15.5	13.9	1.62
Sergei Monia	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	8	-6	2.0	16.9	-14.89	2.5	14.5	-11.99
Joel Przybilla	41	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	20	-30	16.8	16.7	0.04	13.8	14.6	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 79, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	94.6%
ORL 74, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%