inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 74 Excitement5.0 [658] MVPRyan Anderson (ORL): +9.7%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback1.4 [910] LVPIsh Smith (ORL): -11.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.12-0.020.001862%0.131-0.043100%0.01
Glen Davis0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01864%0.093-0.076100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0310%0.0000.0020%0.00
Justin Harper0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Von Wafer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.04550%0.023-0.03475%-0.01
Jason Richardson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.021335%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02437%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Daniel Orton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00325%-0.0500.0020%-0.05
Quentin Richardson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.001141%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Ish Smith-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00933%-0.062-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.02753%0.0700.001100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.011059%0.0700.002100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.001265%0.113-0.072100%0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.030.051168%0.092-0.05333%-0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001071%0.113-0.071100%0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.010.04580%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02861%0.062-0.07250%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.00-0.021030%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.425.515.624.32.528.3122.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +54.0%
ORL -3.2%
DEN +3.4%
ORL -5.6%
DEN +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDENNBAORLDENNBA
this game17.615.315.685.1114.8102.8
season16.214.5102.8107.5
opponent15.815.8104.5103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.816.219.217.217.6
DEN12.717.316.015.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson440.02-0.520.54-0.042-293118.017.60.4212.715.5-2.70
DeAndre Liggins670.00-0.500.500.21-7-201316.717.7-1.0012.915.5-2.69
Justin Harper670.00-0.500.500.21-7-201316.717.7-1.0012.915.5-2.69
Von Wafer3837-0.01-0.490.480.20-7-201316.318.6-2.2315.215.4-0.20
Jason Richardson4750-0.05-0.450.390.01-2-252317.517.7-0.1915.814.71.14
Chris Duhon4445-0.14-0.360.230.42-19-8-1117.118.1-0.9316.314.32.05
Daniel Orton3538-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-11-518.017.30.7214.116.3-2.15
Ryan Anderson6967-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-14-13-117.418.3-0.8616.212.73.50
Glen Davis6464-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-17-10-717.617.50.1615.515.00.45
Ish Smith3939-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.09-10-17718.117.20.8714.416.0-1.60
Quentin Richardson3030-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.10-10-17718.217.30.8713.916.1-2.17
JJ Redick5352-0.540.04-0.580.28-281-2918.416.41.9516.114.21.87

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried56560.65-0.150.800.091981114.916.2-1.3017.617.60.03
Danilo Gallinari62630.54-0.040.59-0.222612515.614.61.0118.016.71.29
Ty Lawson60610.470.030.44-0.212341915.714.61.0617.916.81.07
Arron Afflalo66660.450.050.40-0.111981116.312.53.7118.215.82.36
Andre Miller45440.170.33-0.170.20-128-2916.214.41.7418.217.01.18
JaVale McGee47450.140.36-0.23-0.07720-1314.616.2-1.6217.118.1-0.96
Kosta Koufos28290.130.37-0.24-0.281413115.415.30.1517.917.50.40
Corey Brewer48460.120.38-0.26-0.291413114.616.2-1.5516.818.5-1.68
Jordan Hamilton550.000.50-0.50-0.23819-1110.415.6-5.2315.017.8-2.76
Julyan Stone550.000.50-0.50-0.23819-1110.415.6-5.2315.017.8-2.76
Timofey Mozgov1815-0.170.67-0.83-0.11-229-3115.615.30.2815.618.0-2.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 98, CHH 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,194.8%
WAS 83, IND 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,194.6%
NJN 101, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,194.5%