NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	5.3 [786]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +14.1%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.2 [1094]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -17.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peter Ramos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	22	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	17	39%	-0.03	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	3	133%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	14	32%	-0.11	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	28.2	17.3	27.5	2.5	34.4	136.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.4%

IND +24.2%

WAS -14.3%

IND +15.5%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.5	95.4	106.9	104.0
season	14.7	16.8		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	15.2	15.7	15.8	15.8
IND	17.1	16.8	17.7	17.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	26	26	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-17	24	11.8	17.4	-5.58	18.1	17.0	1.04
Peter Ramos	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	12.0	15.8	-3.80	13.0	17.4	-4.40
Damone Brown	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	17.8	15.4	2.41	15.8	17.6	-1.75
Michael Ruffin	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	17.1	14.8	2.31	17.4	17.3	0.11
Etan Thomas	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-6	2	15.5	15.9	-0.47	17.7	17.1	0.59
Steve Blake	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	18.0	14.6	3.37	16.7	17.7	-0.93
Jared Jeffries	41	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-7	4	17.7	14.0	3.69	16.6	18.0	-1.36
Juan Dixon	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	15.2	16.6	-1.41	17.8	16.7	1.06
Gilbert Arenas	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	15.4	17.8	-2.41	17.6	15.8	1.75
Kwame Brown	57	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	1	-12	15.4	16.5	-1.13	17.7	16.7	0.94
Larry Hughes	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	5	-20	15.4	17.7	-2.33	17.0	18.9	-1.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	17.7	16.7	1.09	16.1	15.2	0.90
Scot Pollard	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	17.3	17.5	-0.18	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Anthony Johnson	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	4	2	17.8	16.4	1.40	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Jeff Foster	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	2	6	17.7	17.1	0.67	16.7	15.0	1.69
Stephen Jackson	51	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	1	8	17.8	16.7	1.11	15.3	16.3	-0.95
Fred Jones	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	8	-6	17.8	16.6	1.19	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Dale Davis	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	5	0	16.7	17.7	-0.99	18.5	14.1	4.39
Eddie Gill	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	6	-2	16.3	17.9	-1.60	15.8	15.7	0.11
Austin Croshere	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	11	-12	17.0	17.6	-0.61	14.4	17.0	-2.57
James Jones	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	15.4	17.9	-2.46	16.5	15.5	0.95
John Edwards	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	13.0	17.4	-4.40	12.0	15.8	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.7%
NOH 97, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHA 91, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%